Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ivory Coast U23 vs Zambia U23

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

52'
Kandela F.
54'
Sakala S.
56'
Sub
Traore H. J. In: Kouao K.
Out: Traore H. J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Ivory Coast U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Ivory Coast U23
30%
Draws
54%
Zambia U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zambia U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ivory Coast U23 come out ahead of Zambia U23 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Zambia U23's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Ivory Coast U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ivory Coast U23, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Ivory Coast U23 Clean Sheet 31%
Zambia U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ivory Coast U23 Zambia U23
Matches Played 27 17
Wins 12 5
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.52 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Ivory Coast U23 vs Zambia U23
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ivory Coast U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dabila K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Zambia U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ivory Coast U23 31 / 100
Zambia U23 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ivory Coast U23 Zambia U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zambia U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ivory Coast U23's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Zambia U23 has conceded goals in 65% of their last 17 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Ivory Coast U23 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ivory Coast U23 VS Zambia U23
1.63 Goals Scored 0.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ivory Coast U23

(Home)
30 Mar
Morocco U23
2 : 2
Ivory Coast U23
26 Mar
Morocco U23
0 : 0
Ivory Coast U23
06 Jun
Netherlands U21
3 : 0
Ivory Coast U23
11 Jun
Egypt U23
2 : 1
Ivory Coast U23
07 Jun
Egypt U23
1 : 0
Ivory Coast U23
Page 1 of 6

Zambia U23

(Away)
31 Mar
Zimbabwe
1 : 0
Zambia U23
28 Mar
Zambia U23
1 : 0
Malawi
26 Mar
Zambia U23
0 : 0
Egypt U23
22 Mar
Egypt U23
2 : 0
Zambia U23
29 Oct
Zambia U23
1 : 0
Sierra Leone U23
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt U23 3 3 0 0 6:3 9
2 Ghana U23 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Cameroon U23 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Mali U23 3 0 0 3 0:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U23 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U23 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast U23 3 2 0 1 2:1 6
2 South Africa U23 3 1 2 0 1:0 5
3 Nigeria U23 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
4 Zambia U23 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U23 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U23 2019 (Play Offs)