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Ivory Coast vs Ghana

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Stade de la Paix, Bouaké
Ivory Coast Logo

Ivory Coast

2 - 0
FT
Ghana Logo

Ghana

Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Thomas-Asante B.
44' Event
Yalcouye M.
Assist: Kessie F.
45'
Yalcouye M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Ivory Coast
15%
Draws
26%
Ghana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ivory Coast

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Ivory Coast have won more games recently than Ghana.
  • Model gives Ivory Coast a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Ivory Coast have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ivory Coast, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Ivory Coast Clean Sheet 68%
Ghana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ivory Coast Ghana
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 26 10
Draws 2 7
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.89 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.61 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations
Ivory Coast vs Ghana
2:0
Jun 12, 2021 Friendly International
Ghana vs Ivory Coast
0:0
Oct 8, 2019 WAFU Cup of Nations
Ivory Coast vs Ghana
1:3
Oct 30, 2015 African Nations Championship
Ivory Coast vs Ghana
1:0
Oct 18, 2015 African Nations Championship
Ghana vs Ivory Coast
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ivory Coast Compare

Top Goalscorer Yalcouye M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Ghana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ivory Coast 86 / 100
Ghana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ivory Coast Ghana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ivory Coast Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ivory Coast scored in 83% of their last 36 outings.

Defensive concern: Ghana conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Ivory Coast remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ivory Coast VS Ghana
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ivory Coast

(Home)
24 Sept
Ivory Coast
2 : 0
Ghana
30 Jun
Ivory Coast
1 : 2
Norway
25 Jun
Curacao
0 : 2
Ivory Coast
20 Jun
Germany
2 : 1
Ivory Coast
14 Jun
Ivory Coast
1 : 0
Ecuador
Page 1 of 8

Ghana

(Away)
24 Sept
Ivory Coast
2 : 0
Ghana
04 Jul
Colombia
1 : 0
Ghana
27 Jun
Croatia
2 : 1
Ghana
23 Jun
England
0 : 0
Ghana
17 Jun
Ghana
1 : 0
Panama
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Lesotho 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Gabon 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Niger 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malawi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Egypt 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Angola 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 South Sudan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Gambia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Somalia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Ghana 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kenya 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 South Africa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Guinea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Eritrea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D.R. Congo 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Zimbabwe 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
3 Sierra Leone 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
4 Equatorial Guinea 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mauritania 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
2 Burkina Faso 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Benin 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Central Africa 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
2 Namibia 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Congo 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
4 Comoros 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botswana 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
2 Uganda 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Libya 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
4 Tunisia 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Burundi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Zambia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Togo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ethiopia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Senegal 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Mozambique 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Sudan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cape Verde 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Liberia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Rwanda 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Mali 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tanzania 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Nigeria 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Madagascar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Guinea Bissau 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)