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Ivory Coast vs Guinea

World World

Friendly International 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Loua P.
34' Event
Bah K.
44' Event
Bedi G.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Ivory Coast and Guinea finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ivory Coast.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Ivory Coast
20%
Draws
15%
Guinea
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ivory Coast

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ivory Coast come out ahead of Guinea on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ivory Coast a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 57.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Ivory Coast Clean Sheet 68%
Guinea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ivory Coast Guinea
Matches Played 27 25
Wins 19 8
Draws 2 8
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.78 1.08
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 15, 2024 Friendly International
Ivory Coast vs Guinea
4:1
Sep 27, 2022 Friendly International
Ivory Coast vs Guinea
3:1
Nov 18, 2018 Africa Cup of Nations
Guinea vs Ivory Coast
1:1
Jun 10, 2017 Africa Cup of Nations
Ivory Coast vs Guinea
2:3
Feb 7, 2016 African Nations Championship
Guinea vs Ivory Coast
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ivory Coast Compare

Top Goalscorer Loua P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bah K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Guinea Compare

Top Goalscorer Kouyate K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ivory Coast 77 / 100
Guinea 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ivory Coast Guinea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ivory Coast Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ivory Coast's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Guinea let in goals in 68% of their last 25 matches.

Recent resilience: Ivory Coast stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ivory Coast VS Guinea
2.13 Goals Scored 0.6
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.2
75% Over 1.5 40%
63% Over 2.5 40%
38% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Ivory Coast

(Home)
24 Sept
Ivory Coast
2 : 0
Ghana
30 Jun
Ivory Coast
1 : 2
Norway
25 Jun
Curacao
0 : 2
Ivory Coast
20 Jun
Germany
2 : 1
Ivory Coast
14 Jun
Ivory Coast
1 : 0
Ecuador
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Guinea

(Away)
26 Sept
South Africa
2 : 1
Guinea
04 Jun
Northern Ireland
1 : 0
Guinea
31 Mar
Guinea
0 : 1
Benin
27 Mar
Guinea
2 : 2
Togo
18 Nov
Guinea
1 : 1
Niger
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