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Ivory Coast vs Sierra Leone

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Friendly International 2024 Stade Laurent Pokou
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Match Events

18' Event
Diomande O.
Assist: Boga J.
35' Event
Kessie F.
Assist: Krasso J.
38' Event
Bamba J.
Assist: Fofana S.

AI Match Summary

Ivory Coast host Sierra Leone in the Friendly International 2024. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Sierra Leone have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Ivory Coast have conceded 0.88 and scored 2. Head-to-head, Ivory Coast have won 2 to Sierra Leone's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Oct 15, 2024, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 0.81) point toward Ivory Coast. Ivory Coast in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Ivory Coast
11%
Draws
9%
Sierra Leone
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Ivory Coast

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Ivory Coast has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Sierra Leone.
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for Ivory Coast.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Friendly International 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Ivory Coast Clean Sheet 68%
Sierra Leone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ivory Coast Sierra Leone
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 23 8
Draws 3 8
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 2 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
Sierra Leone vs Ivory Coast
1:0
Oct 11, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
Ivory Coast vs Sierra Leone
4:1
Jan 6, 2024 Friendly International
Ivory Coast vs Sierra Leone
5:1
Jan 16, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations
Ivory Coast vs Sierra Leone
2:2
Sep 3, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations
Ivory Coast vs Sierra Leone
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ivory Coast Compare

Top Goalscorer Diomande O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kessie F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Sierra Leone Compare

Top Goalscorer Michael R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ivory Coast 86 / 100
Sierra Leone 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ivory Coast Sierra Leone

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IVO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ivory Coast scored in 82% of their last 34 games.

Sierra Leone let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Ivory Coast went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sierra Leone lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ivory Coast VS Sierra Leone
2 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%