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Ivory Coast W vs Burkina Faso W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women Al Medina Stadium, Rabat
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Elloh R.
(Penalty)
14' Event
Konan I.
Assist: Kouassi R.
16'
Rouamba M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. This leg finished 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ivory Coast W
20%
Draws
40%
Burkina Faso W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Ivory Coast W have won more games recently than Burkina Faso W.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Ivory Coast W taking it.
  • Ivory Coast W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ivory Coast W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Ivory Coast W Clean Sheet 68%
Burkina Faso W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ivory Coast W Burkina Faso W
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 21 12
Draws 4 8
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 2.72 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Ivory Coast W vs Burkina Faso W
4:1
Feb 16, 2018 Friendly International Women
Ivory Coast W vs Burkina Faso W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ivory Coast W Compare

Top Goalscorer Konan I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ouedraogo N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Burkina Faso W Compare

Top Goalscorer Congo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ivory Coast W 59 / 100
Burkina Faso W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ivory Coast W Burkina Faso W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ivory Coast W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ivory Coast W found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Burkina Faso W has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Ivory Coast W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ivory Coast W VS Burkina Faso W
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ivory Coast W

(Home)
09 Oct
D.R. Congo W
1 : 4
Ivory Coast W
13 Aug
Ivory Coast W
1 : 2
Ghana W
08 Aug
Ivory Coast W
1 : 2
Algeria W
04 Aug
Tanzania W
1 : 2
Ivory Coast W
31 Jul
South Africa W
2 : 2
Ivory Coast W
Page 1 of 7

Burkina Faso W

(Away)
08 Oct
Burkina Faso W
3 : 1
Equatorial Guinea W
04 Aug
Burkina Faso W
0 : 1
South Africa W
31 Jul
Burkina Faso W
2 : 1
Tanzania W
27 Jul
Ivory Coast W
4 : 1
Burkina Faso W
07 Jun
Burkina Faso W
2 : 2
Mali W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco W 3 2 1 0 5:0 7
2 Algeria W 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
3 Senegal W 3 1 1 1 1:2 4
4 Kenya W 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast W 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
2 South Africa W 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 Burkina Faso W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Tanzania W 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malawi W 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
2 Nigeria W 3 2 0 1 9:5 6
3 Zambia W 3 2 0 1 8:2 6
4 Egypt W 3 0 0 3 3:15 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon W 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Ghana W 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Mali W 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Cape Verde W 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)