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Ivory Coast W vs Senegal W Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women
Tue, Oct 28, 2025
0 - 1
07:00 PM
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AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ivory Coast W
20%
Draws
40%
Senegal W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ivory Coast W come out ahead of Senegal W on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Ivory Coast W taking it.
  • Ivory Coast W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ivory Coast W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Ivory Coast W Clean Sheet 68%
Senegal W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ivory Coast W Senegal W
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 19 16
Draws 5 7
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2.13 1.15
Goals Conceded 0.65 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Ivory Coast W vs Senegal W
0:1
Oct 24, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Senegal W vs Ivory Coast W
0:0
Oct 14, 2012 Friendly International Women
Ivory Coast W vs Senegal W
2:1
Oct 12, 2012 Friendly International Women
Ivory Coast W vs Senegal W
6:0
Dec 16, 2007 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Ivory Coast W vs Senegal W
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ivory Coast W 59 / 100
Senegal W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ivory Coast W Senegal W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ivory Coast W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ivory Coast W scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Ivory Coast W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Senegal W let in goals in 48% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ivory Coast W VS Senegal W
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ivory Coast W

(Home)
13 Aug
Ivory Coast W
1 : 2
Ghana W
08 Aug
Ivory Coast W
1 : 2
Algeria W
04 Aug
Tanzania W
1 : 2
Ivory Coast W
31 Jul
South Africa W
2 : 2
Ivory Coast W
27 Jul
Ivory Coast W
4 : 1
Burkina Faso W
Page 1 of 7

Senegal W

(Away)
03 Aug
Senegal W
0 : 0
Morocco W
30 Jul
Senegal W
1 : 0
Kenya W
26 Jul
Algeria W
2 : 0
Senegal W
11 Jul
Egypt W
1 : 0
Senegal W
08 Jul
Egypt W
0 : 1
Senegal W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Angola W 4
Zimbabwe W 3
Malawi W -
Congo W -
Botswana W 0
D.R. Congo W 2
TBD -
South Africa W -
Tanzania W 4
Equatorial Guinea W 2
Uganda W 2
Ethiopia W 3
Eswatini W 0
Namibia W 4
TBD -
Zambia W -
Burundi W 1
Burkina Faso W 5
Djibouti W 0
Togo W 10
South Sudan W 0
Algeria W 8
TBD -
Cameroon W -
Rwanda W 2
Egypt W 3
TBD -
Ghana W -
Kenya W 1
Tunisia W 0
Niger W 1
Gambia W 4
Benin W 5
Sierra Leone W 2
TBD -
Nigeria W -
Guinea W 3
Cape Verde W 6
Gabon W 1
Mali W 10
Chad W -
Senegal W -
TBD -
Ivory Coast W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Angola W 0
Malawi W 2
D.R. Congo W 1
South Africa W 2
Tanzania W 3
Ethiopia W 0
Namibia W 2
Zambia W 7
Burkina Faso W 3
Togo W 0
Algeria W 3
Cameroon W 1
Egypt W 0
Ghana W 7
Kenya W 4
Gambia W 1
Benin W 1
Nigeria W 3
Cape Verde W 4
Mali W 3
Senegal W 1
Ivory Coast W 0
TBD -
TBD -