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Stadium Background

Iwaki vs Imabari

Japan Japan

J2 League Iwaki Greenfield, Iwaki
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Son T.
16'
Umeki R.
48' Event
Kumata N.

AI Match Summary

The J2 League game between Iwaki and Imabari finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Iwaki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Iwaki
15%
Draws
17%
Imabari
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Iwaki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Iwaki come out ahead of Imabari on wins alone.
  • Model gives Iwaki a 68% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Iwaki Clean Sheet 68%
Imabari Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iwaki Imabari
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 8
Draws 1 3
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.45 0.93
Goals Conceded 1 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 J2 League
Iwaki vs Imabari
2:1
Aug 30, 2025 J2 League
Imabari vs Iwaki
0:2
Mar 23, 2025 J2 League
Iwaki vs Imabari
0:1
Sep 18, 2022 J3 League
Imabari vs Iwaki
1:0
Apr 17, 2022 J3 League
Iwaki vs Imabari
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iwaki Compare

Top Goalscorer Kumata N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Imabari Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iwaki 95 / 100
Imabari 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iwaki Imabari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iwaki Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Imabari's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Iwaki scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Iwaki went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Iwaki VS Imabari
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Iwaki

(Home)
09 Aug
Iwaki
2 : 1
Imabari
12 Jul
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 3
Iwaki
07 Jun
Tokushima
2 : 0
Iwaki
30 May
Shonan Bellmare
1 : 2
Iwaki
23 May
Fujieda MYFC
0 : 1
Iwaki
Page 1 of 6

Imabari

(Away)
09 Aug
Iwaki
2 : 1
Imabari
22 Jul
Vissel Kobe
6 : 1
Imabari
07 Jun
Vanraure
1 : 2
Imabari
31 May
Imabari
1 : 2
Ryukyu
24 May
Tokushima
2 : 1
Imabari
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fujieda MYFC 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 Omiya Ardija 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
3 Shonan Bellmare 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
4 Tochigi City 2 1 0 1 5:2 3
5 Toyama 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
6 Sagan Tosu 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
7 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
8 Montedio Yamagata 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
9 Yokohama FC 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
10 Albirex Niigata 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
11 Iwaki 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
12 Vanraure 2 1 0 1 2:5 3
13 Iwata 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
14 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
15 Oita Trinita 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
16 Kofu 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
17 Vegalta Sendai 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
18 Blaublitz 2 0 1 1 1:5 1
19 Imabari 2 0 0 2 3:5 0
20 Tokushima 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - J1 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J2 League (Promotion)
Relegation - J3 League 2027/2028 (Main)