Sport Picks

Iwaki vs Oita Trinita - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan

Emperors Cup Iwaki Greenfield, Iwaki

Iwaki

Wed, Aug 26, 2026

2 - 0

10:00 AM

Oita Trinita

Our Tip

Match Events

Inoue S.

11'

Tone I.

46'

Sub

Takahashi Y. In: Jeon S.

Out: Takahashi Y.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%

Iwaki

30%

Draws

42%

Oita Trinita

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oita Trinita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to Iwaki lately — more wins on the board than Oita Trinita.
Win probability leans Oita Trinita's way, sitting at 40%.
Iwaki have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Iwaki, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%

Iwaki Clean Sheet 20%

Oita Trinita Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Iwaki	Oita Trinita
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	15	8
Draws	0	5
Losses	14	16
Goals Scored	1.38	0.97
Goals Conceded	1.45	1.24
Expected Goals (xG)	1.19	1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Emperors Cup

Iwaki vs Oita Trinita

2:0

Aug 22, 2026 J2 League

Oita Trinita vs Iwaki

4:1

Aug 23, 2025 J2 League

Iwaki vs Oita Trinita

4:0

Feb 23, 2025 J2 League

Oita Trinita vs Iwaki

0:0

Jul 6, 2024 J2 League

Iwaki vs Oita Trinita

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iwaki Compare

Top Goalscorer Tanaka K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Nakajima S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.92

Avg xA / game 0.59

Oita Trinita Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08

Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iwaki 28 / 100

Oita Trinita 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Iwaki Oita Trinita

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oita Trinita Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iwaki scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Oita Trinita's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Iwaki remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Iwaki VS Oita Trinita

1.25 Goals Scored 0.88

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13

75% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 13%

38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Iwaki

(Home)

07 Oct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

4 : 0

Iwaki

04 Oct

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

2 : 1

Iwaki

26 Sept

Iwaki

0 : 2

Vegalta Sendai

19 Sept

Sagan Tosu

1 : 3

Iwaki

12 Sept

Iwaki

2 : 0

Yokohama FC

Page 1 of 6

Oita Trinita

(Away)

10 Oct

Yokohama FC

1 : 2

Oita Trinita

03 Oct

Oita Trinita

2 : 1

Montedio Yamagata

26 Sept

Oita Trinita

1 : 1

Fujieda MYFC

19 Sept

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

1 : 1

Oita Trinita

12 Sept

Omiya Ardija

0 : 0

Oita Trinita

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Kashima Antlers -

TBD -

Atletico Suzuka 2

Basara Hyogo 1

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo -

TBD -

Kofu -

Nagoya Grampus -

TBD -

Gainare Tottori 3

Kumamoto 2

Verdy -

TBD -

Tohoku Gakuin University 1

Thespakusatsu Gunma 3

Kawasaki Frontale -

TBD -

Tochigi SC 2

Urayasu SC 0

Iwata -

TBD -

Tegevajaro Miyazaki -

Gamba Osaka -

TBD -

Reilac Shiga 2

Japan Soccer 1

Tokushima -

TBD -

FC Tokushima 1

Kawasoe Club 0

Sanfrecce Hiroshima -

TBD -

Giravanz Kitakyushu 1

Okinawa 2

Iwaki -

TBD -

Oita Trinita -

Okayama -

TBD -

Belugarosso Iwami 2

Nagasaki Intl University 0

Chiba -

TBD -

Arterivo Wakayama 0

Azul Claro Numazu 6

Vissel Kobe -

TBD -

Veroskronos Tsuno 3

Kamatamare Sanuki 1

Sagan Tosu -

TBD -

Toyama -

Avispa Fukuoka -

TBD -

Verspah Oita 3

Kochi United 0

Yokohama FC -

TBD -

Ryutsu Keizai University 1

Criacao Shinjuku 2

Kashiwa Reysol -

TBD -

Senshu University 2

Tsukuba Univ. 1

Imabari -

TBD -

Blaublitz -

Yokohama F. Marinos -

TBD -

Fukushima United 7

Oyama 0

Mito -

TBD -

Kanazawa 1

Kyoto Sangyo 4

Urawa Reds -

TBD -

Yamanashi Gakuin 1

Tokyo International University 0

Omiya Ardija -

TBD -

Vanraure -

Cerezo Osaka -

TBD -

Gifu 3

Toyama Shinjo 1

Albirex Niigata -

TBD -

Kagoshima United 2

Renofa Yamaguchi 1

Kyoto -

TBD -

SRC Hiroshima 1

Maruyasu Okazaki 6

Montedio Yamagata -

TBD -

Fujieda MYFC -

Shimizu S-Pulse -

TBD -

Nara Club 1

FC Osaka 4

V-Varen Nagasaki -

TBD -

Ehime 2

International Pacific Univesity 1

Machida Zelvia -

TBD -

Iwate Grulla Morioka 1

Sapporo University FC 0

Vegalta Sendai -

TBD -

Tochigi City -

FC Tokyo -

TBD -

Nagano Parceiro 2

Fukui Utd. 1

Shonan Bellmare -

TBD -

Reinmeer Aomori 15

Akita University 0

1/32-finals

Kashima Antlers 3

Atletico Suzuka 0

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1

Kofu 3

Nagoya Grampus 1

Gainare Tottori 3

Verdy 4

Thespakusatsu Gunma 1

Kawasaki Frontale 3

Tochigi SC 1

Iwata 0

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1

Gamba Osaka 2

Reilac Shiga 0

Tokushima 3

FC Tokushima 0

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4

Okinawa 1

Iwaki 2

Oita Trinita 0

Okayama 3

Belugarosso Iwami 0

Chiba 2

Azul Claro Numazu 1

Vissel Kobe 2

Veroskronos Tsuno 1

Sagan Tosu 4

Toyama 0

Avispa Fukuoka 1

Verspah Oita 0

Yokohama FC 3

Criacao Shinjuku 1

Kashiwa Reysol 2

Senshu University 1

Imabari 4

Blaublitz 1

Yokohama F. Marinos 1

Fukushima United 0

Mito 0

Kyoto Sangyo 2

Urawa Reds 3

Yamanashi Gakuin 0

Omiya Ardija 2

Vanraure 0

Cerezo Osaka 3

Gifu 1

Albirex Niigata 0

Kagoshima United 4

Kyoto 1

Maruyasu Okazaki 0

Montedio Yamagata 3

Fujieda MYFC 5

Shimizu S-Pulse 2

FC Osaka 1

V-Varen Nagasaki 3

Ehime 2

Machida Zelvia 3

Iwate Grulla Morioka 0

Vegalta Sendai 1

Tochigi City 2

FC Tokyo 6

Nagano Parceiro 0

Shonan Bellmare 1

Reinmeer Aomori 0

1/16-finals

Kashima Antlers 3

Kofu 1

Gainare Tottori 0

Verdy 1

Kawasaki Frontale 2

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0

Gamba Osaka 5

Tokushima 0

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4

Iwaki 0

Okayama 1

Chiba 0

Vissel Kobe 1

Sagan Tosu 0

Avispa Fukuoka 0

Yokohama FC 1

Kashiwa Reysol 4

Imabari 0

Yokohama F. Marinos 2

Kyoto Sangyo 1

Urawa Reds 3

Omiya Ardija 2

Cerezo Osaka 2

Kagoshima United 0

Kyoto 1

Fujieda MYFC 0

Shimizu S-Pulse 2

V-Varen Nagasaki 1

Machida Zelvia 2

Tochigi City 1

FC Tokyo 4

Shonan Bellmare 0

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Iwaki vs Oita Trinita - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan

Iwaki

Oita Trinita

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Iwaki Compare

Oita Trinita Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Iwaki

Oita Trinita

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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