Sport Picks
Iwaki vs Vegalta Sendai - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J2 League Iwaki Greenfield, Iwaki 
Match Events
12'
12'
Endo R.
31'
31'
Moraes M.
33'
33'
Umeki T.
Assist: Ishii H.
AI Match Summary
The J2 League game between Iwaki and Vegalta Sendai finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vegalta Sendai.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vegalta Sendai
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Vegalta Sendai come out ahead of Iwaki on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular J2 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Vegalta Sendai have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Iwaki Clean Sheet 10%
Vegalta Sendai Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Iwaki | Vegalta Sendai |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 21 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 14 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 J2 League
Iwaki vs Vegalta Sendai
0:2
Nov 29, 2025 J2 League
Vegalta Sendai vs Iwaki
0:1
May 25, 2025 J2 League
Iwaki vs Vegalta Sendai
1:2
Aug 31, 2024 J2 League
Vegalta Sendai vs Iwaki
2:0
Jun 2, 2024 J2 League
Iwaki vs Vegalta Sendai
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Iwaki Compare
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Vegalta Sendai Compare
Top Goalscorer Umeki T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Iwaki 30 / 100
Vegalta Sendai 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Iwaki Vegalta Sendai
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vegalta Sendai Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Iwaki found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
Vegalta Sendai's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Iwaki stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Iwaki VS Vegalta Sendai
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Iwaki
(Home) 07 Oct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4 : 0 Iwaki
04 Oct
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
2 : 1 Iwaki
26 Sept
Iwaki
0 : 2 Vegalta Sendai
19 Sept
Sagan Tosu
1 : 3 Iwaki
12 Sept
Iwaki
2 : 0 Yokohama FC
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Iwaki
0 : 2 Vegalta Sendai
12 Sept
Iwaki
2 : 0 Yokohama FC
29 Aug
Iwaki
2 : 3 Albirex Niigata
26 Aug
Iwaki
2 : 0 Oita Trinita
09 Aug
Iwaki
2 : 1 Imabari
Page 1 of 3
Vegalta Sendai
(Away) 04 Oct
Vegalta Sendai
2 : 1 Iwata
26 Sept
Iwaki
0 : 2 Vegalta Sendai
20 Sept
Tochigi City
1 : 3 Vegalta Sendai
13 Sept
Vegalta Sendai
1 : 1 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
09 Sept
Fukushima United
4 : 3 Vegalta Sendai
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Iwaki
0 : 2 Vegalta Sendai
20 Sept
Tochigi City
1 : 3 Vegalta Sendai
09 Sept
Fukushima United
4 : 3 Vegalta Sendai
05 Sept
Shonan Bellmare
1 : 3 Vegalta Sendai
22 Aug
Vanraure
0 : 2 Vegalta Sendai
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | 20 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13:13 | 19 |
| 3 | Toyama | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:9 | 17 |
| 4 | Omiya Ardija | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 17:8 | 17 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:11 | 17 |
| 6 | Shonan Bellmare | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 16 |
| 7 | Fujieda MYFC | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:10 | 13 |
| 8 | Blaublitz | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 9 | Tokushima | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9:10 | 13 |
| 10 | Montedio Yamagata | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 11:8 | 12 |
| 11 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:13 | 12 |
| 12 | Oita Trinita | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9:7 | 11 |
| 13 | Tochigi City | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:15 | 10 |
| 14 | Iwata | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:13 | 10 |
| 15 | Vanraure | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5:14 | 10 |
| 16 | Iwaki | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12:17 | 9 |
| 17 | Sagan Tosu | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:12 | 8 |
| 18 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12:18 | 8 |
| 19 | Imabari | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | 7 |
| 20 | Kofu | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7:17 | 7 |
Promotion - J1 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J2 League (Promotion)
Relegation - J3 League 2027/2028 (Main)
