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Iwata vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J2 League Yamaha Stadium, Iwata
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Match Events

38'
Yamazaki K.
41'
Nishino S.
42' Event
Iago Teles
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The J2 League game between Iwata and Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Iwata.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Iwata
20%
Draws
36%
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Iwata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo come out ahead of Iwata on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular J2 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Iwata have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Iwata Clean Sheet 19%
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iwata Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 1 3
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.44 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 J2 League
Iwata vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1:0
May 23, 2026 J2/J3 League
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Iwata
0:1
Mar 14, 2026 J2/J3 League
Iwata vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
0:1
Jul 12, 2025 J2 League
Iwata vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
5:1
May 6, 2025 J2 League
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Iwata
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iwata 31 / 100
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iwata Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iwata Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iwata's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Iwata stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Iwata VS Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Iwata

(Home)
04 Oct
Vegalta Sendai
2 : 1
Iwata
29 Sept
Iwata
4 : 2
Chiba
26 Sept
Iwata
1 : 2
Vanraure
19 Sept
Albirex Niigata
2 : 1
Iwata
12 Sept
Kofu
0 : 1
Iwata
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Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

(Away)
04 Oct
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
2 : 1
Iwaki
29 Sept
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 2
Okayama
26 Sept
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3 : 2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
19 Sept
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 1
Oita Trinita
13 Sept
Vegalta Sendai
1 : 1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Omiya Ardija 10 5 5 0 20:9 20
2 Vegalta Sendai 9 6 2 1 17:8 20
3 Albirex Niigata 9 6 1 2 13:13 19
4 Toyama 9 5 2 2 18:9 17
5 Yokohama FC 10 5 2 3 19:13 17
6 Shonan Bellmare 9 4 4 1 10:8 16
7 Oita Trinita 10 3 5 2 11:8 14
8 Fujieda MYFC 10 3 4 3 13:11 13
9 Blaublitz 9 3 4 2 12:10 13
10 Iwata 10 4 1 5 12:13 13
11 Tokushima 10 4 1 5 10:12 13
12 Montedio Yamagata 9 4 0 5 11:8 12
13 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 9 3 3 3 13:13 12
14 Sagan Tosu 10 3 2 5 9:12 11
15 Tochigi City 10 3 1 6 16:17 10
16 Imabari 10 3 1 6 11:19 10
17 Kofu 10 3 1 6 9:18 10
18 Vanraure 10 3 1 6 6:17 10
19 Iwaki 9 3 0 6 12:17 9
20 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 10 2 2 6 12:19 8
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