Sport Picks

Japan

J2/J3 League Yamaha Stadium, Iwata

Iwata

Sat, May 2, 2026

1 - 2

05:00 AM

Iwaki

Our Tip

Match Events

13'

Kawasaki I.

Assist: Gustavo Silva

63'

Sub

Nishitani R. In: Nagaki R.

Out: Nishitani R.

66'

Sub

Matsubara K. In: Tameda H.

Out: Matsubara K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Iwaki in this J2/J3 League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Iwaki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Iwata

33%

Draws

40%

Iwaki

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Iwaki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Iwaki lately — more wins on the board than Iwata.
Model gives Iwaki a 40% chance of winning this.
Regular J2/J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%

Iwata Clean Sheet 19%

Iwaki Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Iwata	Iwaki
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	14	18
Draws	2	2
Losses	14	10
Goals Scored	1.38	1
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 J2/J3 League

Iwata vs Iwaki

1:2

Mar 29, 2026 J2/J3 League

Iwaki vs Iwata

1:0

Aug 10, 2025 J2 League

Iwaki vs Iwata

3:1

May 17, 2025 J2 League

Iwata vs Iwaki

2:0

Jul 29, 2023 J2 League

Iwaki vs Iwata

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iwata Compare

Top Goalscorer Kawasaki I.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Iwaki Compare

Top Goalscorer Shota K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iwata 28 / 100

Iwaki 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Iwata Iwaki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IWA Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iwata found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Iwaki's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Iwata remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Iwata VS Iwaki

1.38 Goals Scored 1

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25

75% Over 1.5 50%

75% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Iwata

(Home)

06 Jun

Iwata

2 : 3

FC Osaka

30 May

Tochigi City

4 : 3

Iwata

23 May

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

0 : 1

Iwata

16 May

Iwata

0 : 3

Fujieda MYFC

10 May

Fukushima United

4 : 2

Iwata

Page 1 of 6

Iwaki

(Away)

12 Jul

Nagano Parceiro

1 : 3

Iwaki

07 Jun

Tokushima

2 : 0

Iwaki

30 May

Shonan Bellmare

1 : 2

Iwaki

23 May

Fujieda MYFC

0 : 1

Iwaki

17 May

Iwaki

1 : 2

Matsumoto Yamaga

Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	18	16	2	37:15	43
2	Blaublitz	18	11	7	23:16	35
3	Shonan Bellmare	18	11	7	28:20	31
4	Yokohama FC	18	10	8	36:28	29
5	SC Sagamihara	18	9	9	33:36	28
6	Thespakusatsu Gunma	18	7	11	27:39	23
7	Montedio Yamagata	18	8	10	22:25	22
8	Tochigi City	18	7	11	22:35	21
9	Vanraure	17	5	12	16:23	18
10	Tochigi SC	17	5	12	24:31	17

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League Standings (Group 2)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kofu	17	11	6	20:12	33
2	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	18	11	7	28:22	31
3	Iwaki	18	11	7	26:20	31
4	Omiya Ardija	18	10	8	39:29	30
5	Fujieda MYFC	18	9	9	24:23	30
6	Gifu	17	9	8	23:25	27
7	Matsumoto Yamaga	18	8	10	33:25	26
8	Iwata	18	9	9	20:25	25
9	Fukushima United	18	6	12	30:43	18
10	Nagano Parceiro	18	5	13	17:36	16

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League Standings (Group 3)

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Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Toyama	18	13	5	40:26	38
2	Albirex Niigata	18	12	6	24:19	35
3	Tokushima	18	11	7	38:23	32
4	Kochi United	18	10	8	25:23	30
5	Ehime	18	9	9	26:20	28
6	Kanazawa	18	10	8	20:23	27
7	Nara Club	18	7	11	27:36	21
8	FC Osaka	18	6	12	18:23	20
9	Imabari	18	6	12	15:21	20
10	Kamatamare Sanuki	18	6	12	15:34	19

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League Standings (Group 4)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	18	15	3	35:13	47
2	Kagoshima United	18	12	6	27:16	33
3	Sagan Tosu	18	10	8	26:18	32
4	Renofa Yamaguchi	18	10	8	27:24	29
5	Kumamoto	18	9	9	21:21	27
6	Gainare Tottori	18	10	8	24:25	27
7	Oita Trinita	18	7	11	19:20	22
8	Reilac Shiga	18	7	11	16:29	21
9	Ryukyu	18	6	12	17:28	17
10	Giravanz Kitakyushu	18	4	14	17:35	15

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