Sport Picks
Match Events
13'
13'
Kawasaki I.
Assist: Gustavo Silva
63'
63'
Sub
Nishitani R. In: Nagaki R.
Out: Nishitani R.
66'
66'
Sub
Matsubara K. In: Tameda H.
Out: Matsubara K.
AI Match Summary
Iwaki in this J2/J3 League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Iwaki.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Iwata
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Iwaki lately — more wins on the board than Iwata.
- Model gives Iwata a 51% chance of winning this.
- Regular J2/J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Iwata Clean Sheet 68%
Iwaki Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Iwata | Iwaki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 16 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 15 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 J2/J3 League
Iwata vs Iwaki
1:2
Mar 29, 2026 J2/J3 League
Iwaki vs Iwata
1:0
Aug 10, 2025 J2 League
Iwaki vs Iwata
3:1
May 17, 2025 J2 League
Iwata vs Iwaki
2:0
Jul 29, 2023 J2 League
Iwaki vs Iwata
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Iwata Compare
Top Goalscorer Kawasaki I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Iwaki Compare
Top Goalscorer Shota K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Iwata 59 / 100
Iwaki 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Iwata Iwaki
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Iwata Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Iwata found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
Iwaki's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Iwata remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Iwata VS Iwaki
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Iwata
(Home) 12 Sept
Kofu
0 : 1 Iwata
06 Sept
Iwata
0 : 1 Toyama
02 Sept
SC Sagamihara
0 : 3 Iwata
29 Aug
Tochigi City
1 : 3 Iwata
26 Aug
Iwata
0 : 1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Iwata
0 : 1 Toyama
26 Aug
Iwata
0 : 1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki
22 Aug
Iwata
2 : 1 Tokushima
08 Aug
Iwata
1 : 1 Blaublitz
06 Jun
Iwata
2 : 3 FC Osaka
Page 1 of 3
Iwaki
(Away) 12 Sept
Iwaki
2 : 0 Yokohama FC
05 Sept
Tokushima
1 : 0 Iwaki
02 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 0 Iwaki
29 Aug
Iwaki
2 : 3 Albirex Niigata
26 Aug
Iwaki
2 : 0 Oita Trinita
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Tokushima
1 : 0 Iwaki
02 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 0 Iwaki
22 Aug
Oita Trinita
4 : 1 Iwaki
15 Aug
Fujieda MYFC
3 : 1 Iwaki
12 Jul
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 3 Iwaki
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 18 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 37:15 | 43 |
| 2 | Blaublitz | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 23:16 | 35 |
| 3 | Shonan Bellmare | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 28:20 | 31 |
| 4 | Yokohama FC | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 36:28 | 29 |
| 5 | SC Sagamihara | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 33:36 | 28 |
| 6 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 27:39 | 23 |
| 7 | Montedio Yamagata | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 22:25 | 22 |
| 8 | Tochigi City | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 22:35 | 21 |
| 9 | Vanraure | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 16:23 | 18 |
| 10 | Tochigi SC | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 24:31 | 17 |
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kofu | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 20:12 | 33 |
| 2 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 28:22 | 31 |
| 3 | Iwaki | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 26:20 | 31 |
| 4 | Omiya Ardija | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 39:29 | 30 |
| 5 | Fujieda MYFC | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 24:23 | 30 |
| 6 | Gifu | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 23:25 | 27 |
| 7 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 33:25 | 26 |
| 8 | Iwata | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 20:25 | 25 |
| 9 | Fukushima United | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 30:43 | 18 |
| 10 | Nagano Parceiro | 18 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 17:36 | 16 |
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toyama | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 40:26 | 38 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 24:19 | 35 |
| 3 | Tokushima | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 38:23 | 32 |
| 4 | Kochi United | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 25:23 | 30 |
| 5 | Ehime | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 26:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Kanazawa | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 20:23 | 27 |
| 7 | Nara Club | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 27:36 | 21 |
| 8 | FC Osaka | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 18:23 | 20 |
| 9 | Imabari | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 15:21 | 20 |
| 10 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 15:34 | 19 |
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 18 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 35:13 | 47 |
| 2 | Kagoshima United | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 27:16 | 33 |
| 3 | Sagan Tosu | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 26:18 | 32 |
| 4 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 27:24 | 29 |
| 5 | Kumamoto | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 21:21 | 27 |
| 6 | Gainare Tottori | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 24:25 | 27 |
| 7 | Oita Trinita | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 19:20 | 22 |
| 8 | Reilac Shiga | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 16:29 | 21 |
| 9 | Ryukyu | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 17:28 | 17 |
| 10 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 18 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 17:35 | 15 |
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)
