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Iwata vs Maruyasu Okazaki

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Club Friendly 2025
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AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Iwata and Maruyasu Okazaki finished 7-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Iwata.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Iwata
15%
Draws
34%
Maruyasu Okazaki
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Iwata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Iwata come out ahead of Maruyasu Okazaki on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Iwata's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Iwata Clean Sheet 10%
Maruyasu Okazaki Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iwata Maruyasu Okazaki
Matches Played 32 6
Wins 16 1
Draws 1 1
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 1.59 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2025 Club Friendly
Iwata vs Maruyasu Okazaki
7:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iwata 83 / 100
Maruyasu Okazaki 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iwata Maruyasu Okazaki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iwata Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iwata's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Maruyasu Okazaki's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 6 matches.

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Maruyasu Okazaki has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Iwata VS Maruyasu Okazaki
1.5 Goals Scored 3
2.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Iwata

(Home)
26 Sept
Iwata
1 : 2
Vanraure
19 Sept
Albirex Niigata
2 : 1
Iwata
12 Sept
Kofu
0 : 1
Iwata
06 Sept
Iwata
0 : 1
Toyama
02 Sept
SC Sagamihara
0 : 3
Iwata
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Maruyasu Okazaki

(Away)
26 Aug
Kyoto
1 : 0
Maruyasu Okazaki
19 Aug
SRC Hiroshima
1 : 6
Maruyasu Okazaki
16 Mar
Iwata
7 : 0
Maruyasu Okazaki
23 Feb
Kofu
1 : 1
Maruyasu Okazaki
28 Oct
Honda FC
1 : 0
Maruyasu Okazaki
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