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Iwata vs Shonan Bellmare - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J2 League Yamaha Stadium, Iwata
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Iwata host Shonan Bellmare in the J2 League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Shonan Bellmare have shipped 1.28 goals a game lately, while Iwata have conceded 1.46 and scored 1.39. Head-to-head, Iwata have won 3 to Shonan Bellmare's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 8, 2025, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.25, favoring Iwata. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Iwata
35%
Draws
32%
Shonan Bellmare
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Shonan Bellmare haven't matched Iwata's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Iwata's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular J2 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Iwata Clean Sheet 19%
Shonan Bellmare Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iwata Shonan Bellmare
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.39 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2025 J.League Cup
Iwata vs Shonan Bellmare
1:0
Jun 4, 2025 J.League Cup
Shonan Bellmare vs Iwata
2:0
Jul 14, 2024 J1 League
Shonan Bellmare vs Iwata
5:0
May 25, 2024 J1 League
Iwata vs Shonan Bellmare
3:2
Jul 30, 2022 J1 League
Iwata vs Shonan Bellmare
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iwata 40 / 100
Shonan Bellmare 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iwata Shonan Bellmare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iwata Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iwata scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Shonan Bellmare's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Iwata remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Iwata VS Shonan Bellmare
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Iwata

(Home)
31 Oct
Iwata
2 : 0
Sagan Tosu
25 Oct
Iwaki
1 : 1
Iwata
21 Oct
Iwata
0 : 0
Oita Trinita
17 Oct
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1 : 1
Iwata
14 Oct
Iwata
0 : 4
Kawasaki Frontale
Page 1 of 6

Shonan Bellmare

(Away)
31 Oct
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 0
Shonan Bellmare
25 Oct
Shonan Bellmare
2 : 1
Tochigi City
21 Oct
Shonan Bellmare
1 : 1
Iwaki
17 Oct
Toyama
1 : 1
Shonan Bellmare
11 Oct
Shonan Bellmare
1 : 1
Albirex Niigata
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 14 8 3 3 23:13 27
2 Albirex Niigata 14 8 2 4 21:24 26
3 Toyama 14 7 4 3 26:14 25
4 Yokohama FC 14 7 4 3 26:16 25
5 Omiya Ardija 14 6 6 2 25:17 24
6 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 14 6 5 3 21:16 23
7 Shonan Bellmare 14 5 7 2 15:13 22
8 Iwaki 14 6 2 6 23:20 20
9 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 14 6 2 6 17:19 20
10 Oita Trinita 14 4 7 3 17:12 19
11 Iwata 14 5 4 5 16:15 19
12 Blaublitz 14 4 5 5 15:15 17
13 Sagan Tosu 14 5 2 7 14:17 17
14 Tokushima 14 5 2 7 11:14 17
15 Fujieda MYFC 14 3 7 4 16:15 16
16 Montedio Yamagata 14 5 1 8 13:14 16
17 Vanraure 14 4 2 8 11:24 14
18 Tochigi City 14 3 3 8 21:25 12
19 Imabari 14 3 3 8 16:27 12
20 Kofu 14 3 3 8 11:28 12
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