Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iwata vs Vanraure

Japan Japan

J2 League Yamaha Stadium, Iwata
Sat, Sep 26, 2026
VS
08:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Iwata host Vanraure in the J2 League. This has Iwata written all over it on paper. Vanraure have shipped 1.41 goals a game lately, while Iwata have conceded 1.5 and scored 1.29. Head-to-head, Iwata have won 1 to Vanraure's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 14, 2019, ending 6:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 0.69, favoring Iwata. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Iwata
15%
Draws
26%
Vanraure
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Iwata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Iwata come out ahead of Vanraure on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Iwata's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular J2 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Iwata Clean Sheet 20%
Vanraure Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iwata Vanraure
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 6
Draws 1 3
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 1.29 0.66
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2019 Emperors Cup
Iwata vs Vanraure
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iwata 85 / 100
Vanraure 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iwata Vanraure

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iwata Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iwata found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Vanraure conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Iwata has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Iwata VS Vanraure
1.38 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Iwata

(Home)
12 Sept
Kofu
0 : 1
Iwata
06 Sept
Iwata
0 : 1
Toyama
02 Sept
SC Sagamihara
0 : 3
Iwata
29 Aug
Tochigi City
1 : 3
Iwata
26 Aug
Iwata
0 : 1
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Page 1 of 6

Vanraure

(Away)
18 Sept
Vanraure
0 : 3
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
12 Sept
Vanraure
0 : 1
Shonan Bellmare
05 Sept
Fujieda MYFC
0 : 0
Vanraure
02 Sept
Vanraure
0 : 2
Tochigi City
29 Aug
Vanraure
1 : 0
Blaublitz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Albirex Niigata 7 5 0 2 9:10 15
2 Toyama 7 4 1 2 13:5 13
3 Yokohama FC 7 4 1 2 13:8 13
4 Omiya Ardija 7 3 4 0 11:6 13
5 Shonan Bellmare 7 3 3 1 7:6 12
6 Vegalta Sendai 6 3 2 1 10:6 11
7 Fujieda MYFC 7 3 2 2 11:8 11
8 Tochigi City 6 3 1 2 13:7 10
9 Iwata 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
10 Tokushima 7 3 1 3 5:8 10
11 Montedio Yamagata 7 3 0 4 8:6 9
12 Blaublitz 7 2 3 2 9:8 9
13 Iwaki 7 3 0 4 11:13 9
14 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
15 Sagan Tosu 7 2 2 3 8:9 8
16 Oita Trinita 7 1 4 2 6:5 7
17 Kofu 7 2 1 4 5:10 7
18 Vanraure 7 2 1 4 3:11 7
19 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 7 1 2 4 8:14 5
20 Imabari 7 1 1 5 6:15 4
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