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Iwata vs Vanraure - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J2 League Yamaha Stadium, Iwata
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Match Events

9' Event
Otoizumi S.
Assist: Oka K.
31' Event
Ota R.
Penalty Missed
46'
Sub
Oka K. In: Inami Y.
Out: Oka K.

AI Match Summary

The J2 League game between Iwata and Vanraure finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vanraure.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Iwata
35%
Draws
20%
Vanraure
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Iwata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Iwata come out ahead of Vanraure on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Iwata's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular J2 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Iwata Clean Sheet 68%
Vanraure Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iwata Vanraure
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 7
Draws 4 4
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.41 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 J2 League
Iwata vs Vanraure
1:2
Aug 14, 2019 Emperors Cup
Iwata vs Vanraure
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iwata Compare

Top Goalscorer Victor J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Vanraure Compare

Top Goalscorer Otoizumi S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Takayoshi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iwata 86 / 100
Vanraure 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iwata Vanraure

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iwata Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iwata found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Iwata remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Vanraure has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Iwata VS Vanraure
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Iwata

(Home)
03 Nov
Fujieda MYFC
1 : 2
Iwata
31 Oct
Iwata
2 : 0
Sagan Tosu
25 Oct
Iwaki
1 : 1
Iwata
21 Oct
Iwata
0 : 0
Oita Trinita
17 Oct
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1 : 1
Iwata
Page 1 of 6

Vanraure

(Away)
03 Nov
Oita Trinita
1 : 0
Vanraure
31 Oct
Vanraure
1 : 2
Montedio Yamagata
25 Oct
Sagan Tosu
2 : 0
Vanraure
21 Oct
Tokushima
0 : 1
Vanraure
17 Oct
Imabari
3 : 3
Vanraure
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Albirex Niigata 15 9 2 4 22:24 29
2 Toyama 15 8 4 3 27:14 28
3 Yokohama FC 15 8 4 3 28:17 28
4 Omiya Ardija 15 7 6 2 27:18 27
5 Vegalta Sendai 15 8 3 4 23:14 27
6 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 15 7 5 3 24:16 26
7 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 15 7 2 6 21:19 23
8 Oita Trinita 15 5 7 3 18:12 22
9 Iwata 15 6 4 5 18:16 22
10 Shonan Bellmare 15 5 7 3 15:14 22
11 Iwaki 15 6 2 7 24:22 20
12 Sagan Tosu 15 6 2 7 15:17 20
13 Montedio Yamagata 15 6 1 8 14:14 19
14 Blaublitz 15 4 5 6 16:17 17
15 Tokushima 15 5 2 8 11:15 17
16 Fujieda MYFC 15 3 7 5 17:17 16
17 Vanraure 15 4 2 9 11:25 14
18 Tochigi City 15 3 3 9 21:28 12
19 Imabari 15 3 3 9 16:31 12
20 Kofu 15 3 3 9 11:29 12
Promotion - J1 League 2027/2028 (Main)
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