Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Izabelense vs Capitao Poco

Brazil Brazil

Paraense B1 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Capitao Poco advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Izabelense
15%
Draws
46%
Capitao Poco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Capitao Poco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Capitao Poco come out ahead of Izabelense on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Capitao Poco arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Capitao Poco, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Izabelense Clean Sheet 18%
Capitao Poco Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Izabelense Capitao Poco
Matches Played 21 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.24 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 20, 2024 Paraense A2
Izabelense vs Capitao Poco
0:1
Nov 16, 2024 Paraense A2
Capitao Poco vs Izabelense
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Izabelense 32 / 100
Capitao Poco 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Izabelense Capitao Poco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Izabelense found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (21 games).

Defensive concern: Capitao Poco conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Izabelense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Izabelense VS Capitao Poco
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Izabelense

(Home)
27 Jun
Urumajo
2 : 1
Izabelense
21 Jun
Izabelense
0 : 0
Itupiranga
14 Jun
Itupiranga
1 : 2
Izabelense
10 Jun
Carajas
0 : 1
Izabelense
05 Jun
Izabelense
2 : 1
Carajas
Page 1 of 5

Capitao Poco

(Away)
07 Mar
Castanhal
0 : 1
Capitao Poco
28 Feb
Cameta
1 : 2
Capitao Poco
22 Feb
Capitao Poco
2 : 1
Tuna Luso
19 Feb
Capitao Poco
0 : 1
Castanhal
15 Feb
Capitao Poco
2 : 0
Castanhal
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Capitao Poco 2
Izabelense 0
Amazonia IFC 0
Paragominas 5
Carajas 2
Sao Raimundo PA 1
ESMAC 1
Independente 3
Semi-finals
Capitao Poco 3
Paragominas 0
Carajas 1
Independente 2
Final
Capitao Poco 1
Independente 2