Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Izabelense vs Independente

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Independente in this Paraense A2 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Independente.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Izabelense
30%
Draws
31%
Independente
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Izabelense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Independente lately — more wins on the board than Izabelense.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Paraense A2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Izabelense Clean Sheet 16%
Independente Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Izabelense Independente
Matches Played 21 31
Wins 8 10
Draws 6 12
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.24 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Paraense A2
Izabelense vs Independente
1:2
Apr 25, 2026 Paraense A2
Independente vs Izabelense
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Izabelense 31 / 100
Independente 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Izabelense Independente

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Izabelense found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (21 games).

Independente has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Izabelense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Izabelense VS Independente
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Izabelense

(Home)
27 Jun
Urumajo
2 : 1
Izabelense
21 Jun
Izabelense
0 : 0
Itupiranga
14 Jun
Itupiranga
1 : 2
Izabelense
10 Jun
Carajas
0 : 1
Izabelense
05 Jun
Izabelense
2 : 1
Carajas
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Independente

(Away)
07 Jun
Independente
0 : 0
Itupiranga
04 Jun
Itupiranga
1 : 0
Independente
30 May
Independente
3 : 0
Uniao Paraense
13 May
Izabelense
1 : 2
Independente
09 May
Uniao Paraense
1 : 1
Independente
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caete 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
2 Santos PA 4 1 2 1 5:6 5
3 Canaa 4 0 4 0 4:4 4
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Urumajo 4 3 0 1 7:4 9
2 Paragominas 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
3 Marajo 4 0 1 3 2:11 1
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
2 Izabelense 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
3 Uniao Paraense 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carajas 4 1 3 0 3:1 6
2 Itupiranga 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
3 Atletico Paraense 4 1 1 2 2:6 4
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)