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Izarra vs Subiza

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Hoyos J.
17' Event
Diaz Montes M.
22' Event
Madariaga J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Izarra advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Izarra
30%
Draws
31%
Subiza
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Izarra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Izarra's 1.79 goals per match outpaces what Subiza have produced (1.31).
  • Izarra are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Izarra, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Izarra Clean Sheet 68%
Subiza Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Izarra Subiza
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 12 6
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.79 1.31
Goals Conceded 1 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Izarra vs Subiza
4:0
May 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Subiza vs Izarra
1:0
Mar 29, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Subiza vs Izarra
0:0
Nov 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Izarra vs Subiza
4:0
May 4, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Izarra vs Subiza
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Izarra Compare

Top Goalscorer Hoyos J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diaz Montes M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Subiza Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Izarra 86 / 100
Subiza 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Izarra Subiza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Izarra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Izarra scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Izarra remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Subiza has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Izarra VS Subiza
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Izarra

(Home)
19 Aug
Izarra
1 : 1
SD Logrones
06 Jun
Pamplona
5 : 1
Izarra
30 May
Izarra
1 : 1
Pamplona
24 May
Izarra
4 : 0
Subiza
17 May
Subiza
1 : 0
Izarra
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Subiza

(Away)
15 Aug
Real Sociedad C
3 : 0
Subiza
24 May
Izarra
4 : 0
Subiza
17 May
Subiza
1 : 0
Izarra
09 May
Beti Kozkor
0 : 0
Subiza
03 May
Pena
2 : 1
Subiza
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Pamplona 2
AD San Juan 1
Izarra 4
Subiza 1
Final
Pamplona 6
Izarra 2