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Izarra vs Valle Egues

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Santamaria M.
62' Event
Beloki I.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 game between Izarra and Valle Egues finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Izarra
35%
Draws
20%
Valle Egues
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Izarra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Izarra carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Izarra's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Izarra Clean Sheet 17%
Valle Egues Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Izarra Valle Egues
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 13 10
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 1.97 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Izarra vs Valle Egues
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Valle Egues vs Izarra
2:2
Aug 23, 2024 Club Friendly
Izarra vs Valle Egues
1:2
Feb 24, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Valle Egues vs Izarra
0:0
Oct 15, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Izarra vs Valle Egues
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Izarra Compare

Top Goalscorer Santamaria M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Valle Egues Compare

Top Goalscorer Beloki I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Izarra 84 / 100
Valle Egues 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Izarra Valle Egues

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Izarra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Izarra scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Valle Egues let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Izarra remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Izarra VS Valle Egues
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Izarra

(Home)
19 Sept
Bidezarra
0 : 4
Izarra
12 Sept
Izarra
4 : 1
AD San Juan
05 Sept
Cirbonero
0 : 4
Izarra
23 Aug
Subiza
2 : 2
Izarra
19 Aug
Izarra
1 : 1
SD Logrones
Page 1 of 6

Valle Egues

(Away)
19 Sept
Valle Egues
1 : 1
Mutilvera
13 Sept
Subiza
5 : 2
Valle Egues
05 Sept
Valle Egues
2 : 2
CD Beti Onak
28 Aug
Beasain
2 : 3
Valle Egues
09 May
Cirbonero
2 : 0
Valle Egues
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 34 24 5 5 65:39 77
2 Pamplona 34 22 8 4 65:28 74
3 Izarra 34 16 13 5 64:31 61
4 Subiza 34 15 9 10 46:31 54
5 AD San Juan 34 12 16 6 43:28 52
6 Huarte 34 15 2 17 49:47 47
7 Beti Kozkor 34 12 10 12 50:43 46
8 Ezcabarte 34 12 9 13 47:49 45
9 Cortes 34 13 5 16 37:51 44
10 Cirbonero 34 11 10 13 38:42 43
11 Txantrea 34 12 7 15 52:67 43
12 Valle Egues 34 11 9 14 48:57 42
13 Bidezarra 34 10 9 15 34:40 39
14 Aoiz 34 9 9 16 41:49 36
15 CD Beti Onak 34 9 9 16 42:55 36
16 CD Ardoi 34 8 12 14 46:56 36
17 Oberena 34 7 10 17 32:61 31
18 CA Artajones 34 7 10 17 36:61 31
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 (Play Offs)