Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Izola vs Sobec Lesce

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Izola in this 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Izola.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Izola
30%
Draws
12%
Sobec Lesce
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Izola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Sobec Lesce haven't matched Izola's recent run of results.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Izola taking it.
  • Regular 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Izola here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Izola Clean Sheet 20%
Sobec Lesce Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Izola Sobec Lesce
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 19 8
Draws 5 10
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 2.84 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 2.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 3. SNL - West
Izola vs Sobec Lesce
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 3. SNL - West
Sobec Lesce vs Izola
0:2
May 3, 2025 3. SNL - West
Sobec Lesce vs Izola
0:1
Oct 20, 2024 3. SNL - West
Izola vs Sobec Lesce
0:0
Mar 23, 2024 3. SNL - West
Sobec Lesce vs Izola
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Izola 85 / 100
Sobec Lesce 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Izola Sobec Lesce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Izola Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Izola's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Izola has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sobec Lesce let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Izola VS Sobec Lesce
4.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Izola

(Home)
12 Sept
Izola
5 : 2
Sencur
05 Sept
Dob
0 : 3
Izola
29 Aug
Izola
11 : 0
Fama Vipava
21 Aug
Adria Miren
2 : 4
Izola
15 Aug
Izola
4 : 0
Litija
Page 1 of 7

Sobec Lesce

(Away)
12 Sept
Sobec Lesce
1 : 1
Litija
05 Sept
IB 1975 Ljubljana
4 : 1
Sobec Lesce
29 Aug
Sobec Lesce
1 : 2
Zidgrad Idrija
23 Aug
Sobec Lesce
1 : 1
Ljubljana Svoboda
15 Aug
Rudar Trbovlje
0 : 0
Sobec Lesce
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vrhnika 26 17 5 4 63:21 56
2 Sencur 26 16 6 4 46:27 54
3 Dob 26 15 5 6 54:29 50
4 Tolmin 26 14 3 9 47:33 45
5 Izola 26 12 6 8 53:39 42
6 Rudar Trbovlje 26 11 8 7 56:39 41
7 IB 1975 Ljubljana 26 11 3 12 35:44 36
8 Sobec Lesce 26 10 6 10 31:32 36
9 Skofja Loka 26 7 9 10 37:42 30
10 Ziri 26 7 6 13 30:52 27
11 Fama Vipava 26 6 8 12 28:42 26
12 Ljubljana Svoboda 26 6 5 15 30:51 23
13 Zidgrad Idrija 26 6 4 16 34:57 22
14 Bistrc 26 5 4 17 35:71 19
Promotion - 2. SNL (Main)