Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iztapa vs Coban Imperial

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Teni S.
24'
Almanza J.
43'
Galindo A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2022/2023 game between Iztapa and Coban Imperial finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Coban Imperial.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Iztapa
35%
Draws
39%
Coban Imperial
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Coban Imperial

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Iztapa haven't matched Coban Imperial's recent run of results.
  • Coban Imperial are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Iztapa Clean Sheet 23%
Coban Imperial Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iztapa Coban Imperial
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 9
Draws 7 11
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.33 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2023 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Coban Imperial
0:3
Feb 15, 2023 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Iztapa
2:0
Oct 15, 2022 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Iztapa
1:0
Aug 10, 2022 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Coban Imperial
4:3
Apr 20, 2022 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Coban Imperial
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iztapa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Coban Imperial Compare

Top Goalscorer Teni S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pereira J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iztapa 10 / 100
Coban Imperial 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iztapa Coban Imperial

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coban Imperial Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Iztapa scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Coban Imperial's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Iztapa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Coban Imperial
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Iztapa

(Home)
07 May
Deportivo Achuapa
5 : 3
Iztapa
03 May
Municipal
4 : 0
Iztapa
30 Apr
Iztapa
1 : 0
Santa Lucia
23 Apr
Guastatoya
1 : 1
Iztapa
19 Apr
Iztapa
1 : 5
Comunicaciones
Page 1 of 6

Coban Imperial

(Away)
27 Sept
Coban Imperial
3 : 2
Aurora F.C.
20 Sept
Deportivo San Pedro
1 : 1
Coban Imperial
13 Sept
Coban Imperial
2 : 2
Comunicaciones
11 Sept
Xelaju
0 : 0
Coban Imperial
06 Sept
Coban Imperial
0 : 1
Guastatoya
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comunicaciones 22 12 9 1 37:16 45
2 Municipal 22 13 4 5 44:21 43
3 Xelaju 22 12 7 3 31:9 43
4 Xinabajul 22 8 7 7 27:29 31
5 Guastatoya 22 7 8 7 28:22 29
6 Deportivo Mixco 22 7 8 7 23:24 29
7 Antigua 22 8 5 9 33:37 29
8 Deportivo Achuapa 22 7 5 10 24:44 26
9 Coban Imperial 22 6 7 9 16:17 25
10 Iztapa 22 5 5 12 30:49 20
11 Malacateco 22 4 7 11 24:33 19
12 Santa Lucia 22 5 4 13 14:30 19
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2022/2023 (Clausura - Play Offs)