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Jabaquara U20 vs Sertaozinho U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Clayton

AI Match Summary

The Paulista U20 game between Jabaquara U20 and Sertaozinho U20 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jabaquara U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Jabaquara U20
30%
Draws
70%
Sertaozinho U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sertaozinho U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Sertaozinho U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Sertaozinho U20 taking it.
  • Regular Paulista U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Jabaquara U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Sertaozinho U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jabaquara U20 Sertaozinho U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 4 7
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 0.87 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Paulista U20
Jabaquara U20 vs Sertaozinho U20
1:0
May 30, 2025 Paulista U20
Sertaozinho U20 vs Jabaquara U20
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jabaquara U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Clayton
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Sertaozinho U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jabaquara U20 10 / 100
Sertaozinho U20 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jabaquara U20 Sertaozinho U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sertaozinho U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sertaozinho U20 conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Jabaquara U20's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Sertaozinho U20's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jabaquara U20 VS Sertaozinho U20
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jabaquara U20

(Home)
25 Sept
Santos U20
2 : 0
Jabaquara U20
21 Sept
Jabaquara U20
1 : 4
Santos U20
12 Sept
CA Juventus U20
3 : 1
Jabaquara U20
04 Sept
Jabaquara U20
0 : 2
Uniao Suzano U20
21 Aug
Ferroviaria U20
2 : 0
Jabaquara U20
Page 1 of 6

Sertaozinho U20

(Away)
25 Sept
Santo Andre U20
3 : 0
Sertaozinho U20
19 Sept
Sertaozinho U20
1 : 1
Santo Andre U20
12 Sept
Portuguesa U20
2 : 2
Sertaozinho U20
05 Sept
Sertaozinho U20
1 : 1
Ferroviaria U20
21 Aug
Ponte Preta U20
1 : 3
Sertaozinho U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 13 10 2 1 32:5 32
2 Corinthians U20 13 10 2 1 29:3 32
3 CA Juventus U20 13 9 1 3 35:16 28
4 Ferroviaria U20 13 7 4 2 21:9 25
5 Portuguesa U20 13 7 4 2 21:13 25
6 Sertaozinho U20 13 5 4 4 13:12 19
7 Portuguesa Santista U20 13 5 2 6 16:19 17
8 Ponte Preta U20 13 4 3 6 15:29 15
9 Uniao Suzano U20 13 4 2 7 10:21 14
10 Jabaquara U20 13 4 1 8 9:17 13
11 Itapirense U20 13 3 1 9 14:29 10
12 America SP U20 13 3 0 10 8:31 9
13 Sao Bento U20 13 2 3 8 14:24 9
14 Mirassol U20 13 1 5 7 12:21 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ibrachina U20 14 11 1 2 34:8 34
2 Sao Paulo U20 14 10 3 1 23:4 33
3 Novorizontino U20 14 7 4 3 23:13 25
4 Santo Andre U20 14 6 4 4 22:16 22
5 Desportivo U20 14 6 4 4 19:13 22
6 Osasco Sporting U20 14 5 6 3 19:17 21
7 Botafogo SP U20 14 4 7 3 24:17 19
8 Piracicaba U20 14 3 10 1 12:9 19
9 EC Sao Bernardo U20 14 3 7 4 18:18 16
10 Paulinense U20 14 4 3 7 13:18 15
11 CA Bandeirante U20 14 3 3 8 12:26 12
12 Uniao Sao Joao U20 14 2 6 6 11:15 12
13 Sao Caetano U20 14 3 2 9 14:25 11
14 Velo Clube U20 14 1 8 5 6:24 11
15 Aguai U20 14 2 2 10 10:37 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bragantino U20 14 13 0 1 61:9 39
2 Palmeiras U20 14 11 2 1 29:7 35
3 Guarani U20 14 11 1 2 28:11 34
4 Sfera U20 14 7 1 6 28:16 22
5 Osasco Audax U20 14 6 4 4 20:13 22
6 Agua Santa U20 14 6 3 5 19:23 21
7 Capivariano U20 14 5 6 3 20:14 21
8 Flamengo SP U20 14 5 2 7 11:20 17
9 XV de Jau U20 14 5 2 7 13:26 17
10 Gremio Prudente U20 14 4 4 6 22:25 16
11 Ituano U20 14 3 5 6 17:26 14
12 Referencia U20 14 4 1 9 11:21 13
13 Maua FC U20 14 2 3 9 7:28 9
14 Tanabi U20 14 2 3 9 11:37 9
15 Porto Football U20 14 2 1 11 6:27 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)