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Jableh vs Homs Al Fidaa Prediction & H2H Stats

Syria Syria

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Mardikian M.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Jableh and Homs Al Fidaa finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Homs Al Fidaa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Jableh
15%
Draws
85%
Homs Al Fidaa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Homs Al Fidaa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Homs Al Fidaa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Homs Al Fidaa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Jableh Clean Sheet 10%
Homs Al Fidaa Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jableh Homs Al Fidaa
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 23
Draws 4 6
Losses 20 2
Goals Scored 0.9 1.84
Goals Conceded 2 0.42
Expected Goals (xG) 0.51 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2026 Premier League
Jableh vs Homs Al Fidaa
0:1
Mar 6, 2026 Premier League
Homs Al Fidaa vs Jableh
4:0
May 21, 2025 Premier League
Homs Al Fidaa vs Jableh
2:0
Mar 8, 2024 Premier League
Jableh vs Homs Al Fidaa
0:0
Nov 10, 2023 Premier League
Homs Al Fidaa vs Jableh
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jableh Compare

Avg xG / game 0.39
Avg xA / game 0.26

Homs Al Fidaa Compare

Top Goalscorer Mardikian M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jableh 10 / 100
Homs Al Fidaa 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jableh Homs Al Fidaa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Homs Al Fidaa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jableh scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Homs Al Fidaa has conceded goals in 39% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Jableh VS Homs Al Fidaa
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jableh

(Home)
03 Jul
Tishreen
4 : 2
Jableh
28 Jun
Jableh
1 : 4
Al-Ittihad Aleppo
24 Jun
Al Taliya
1 : 0
Jableh
19 Jun
Jableh
0 : 1
Homs Al Fidaa
13 Jun
Damascus Al-Ahli
4 : 1
Jableh
Page 1 of 6

Homs Al Fidaa

(Away)
11 Aug
Dordoi Bishkek
1 : 2
Homs Al Fidaa
03 Jul
Khan Shaykhun
0 : 1
Homs Al Fidaa
28 Jun
Al Jaish
0 : 3
Homs Al Fidaa
24 Jun
Homs Al Fidaa
4 : 0
Foutoua
19 Jun
Jableh
0 : 1
Homs Al Fidaa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Ittihad Aleppo 30 22 7 1 83:25 73
2 Homs Al Fidaa 30 22 6 2 55:12 72
3 Al Wahda 30 19 5 6 53:24 62
4 Al Karamah 30 17 7 6 55:30 58
5 Al Taliya 30 12 11 7 32:24 47
6 Hottin 30 13 6 11 33:37 45
7 Tishreen 30 11 11 8 42:34 44
8 Al Jaish 30 10 11 9 23:30 41
9 Damascus Al-Ahli 30 11 6 13 37:44 39
10 Horriya 30 10 5 15 30:34 35
11 Al Shorta 30 8 9 13 29:47 33
12 Foutoua 30 9 3 18 36:53 30
13 Umayya 30 5 9 16 27:44 24
14 Khan Shaykhun 30 6 5 19 26:53 23
15 Jableh 30 6 4 20 27:60 22
16 Al-Shouleh 30 4 5 21 14:51 17
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