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Jablonec nad Nisou W vs Melnik W

Czech Republic Czech Republic

2. Liga Women 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jablonec nad Nisou W play Melnik W in the 2. Liga Women 2013/2014. Jablonec nad Nisou W are favorites here. Recently, Jablonec nad Nisou W averaged 1.61 goals scored and 3.9 conceded. Melnik W averaged 1.13 goals scored and 5 conceded. In past meetings, Jablonec nad Nisou W won 2, Melnik W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 26, 2014 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.63 for Jablonec nad Nisou W and 3.35 for Melnik W. This points to a Jablonec nad Nisou W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Jablonec nad Nisou W
15%
Draws
22%
Melnik W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jablonec nad Nisou W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence
  • Jablonec nad Nisou W picked up more points recently compared to Melnik W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.63 vs 3.35 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 95%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 52%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Jablonec nad Nisou W Clean Sheet 10%
Melnik W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 86%
Second Half Goal 90%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jablonec nad Nisou W Melnik W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 4 0
Losses 17 24
Goals Scored 1.61 1.13
Goals Conceded 3.9 5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.13 5.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2014 2. Liga Women
Jablonec nad Nisou W vs Melnik W
1:0
Oct 6, 2013 2. Liga Women
Melnik W vs Jablonec nad Nisou W
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jablonec nad Nisou W 59 / 100
Melnik W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jablonec nad Nisou W Melnik W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jablonec nad Nisou W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Jablonec nad Nisou W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.82
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.5%
1.25
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jablonec nad Nisou W attacking → ← attacking Melnik W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jablonec nad Nisou W scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Melnik W let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Jablonec nad Nisou W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Melnik W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 18
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.57
5.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 5.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Liberec W201811125:1655
2Dukla Prague W201703125:1351
3Stara Lysa W20153290:2648
4FK Rakovnik W20132595:3141
5Caslav W20104674:3734
6Karlovy Vary W20731038:6224
7Jablonec nad Nisou W20801225:6424
8Krupka W20611350:8019
9Usti nad Labem W20501526:11815
10Melnik W20301717:1009
11Teplice W2010199:1273
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Brno W18131449:1040
2Lokomotiva Brno W18101734:2731
3Hodonin W1872927:4223
4Olomouc W18321325:5611