Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jablonec vs Liberec

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Chance Liga Stadion Strelnice, Jablonec nad Nisou
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Kayondo A.
35'
Masek L.
45'
Jawo L.

AI Match Summary

The Chance Liga game between Jablonec and Liberec finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Liberec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Jablonec
15%
Draws
67%
Liberec
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Liberec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Liberec have managed 1.29 goals a game lately — Jablonec are scoring more at 1.31.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Chance Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Jablonec Clean Sheet 20%
Liberec Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jablonec Liberec
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.31 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Chance Liga
Jablonec vs Liberec
1:2
May 24, 2026 Chance Liga
Jablonec vs Liberec
2:1
Apr 25, 2026 Chance Liga
Jablonec vs Liberec
1:2
Oct 25, 2025 Chance Liga
Liberec vs Jablonec
0:2
Mar 8, 2025 Chance Liga
Jablonec vs Liberec
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jablonec Compare

Top Goalscorer Alioum S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Liberec Compare

Top Goalscorer Dulay P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kusej V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jablonec 32 / 100
Liberec 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jablonec Liberec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Liberec Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jablonec found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Liberec has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Jablonec has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jablonec VS Liberec
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jablonec

(Home)
12 Sept
Sparta Prague
2 : 0
Jablonec
09 Sept
Jablonec
3 : 0
Ostrava
06 Sept
Jablonec
1 : 2
Liberec
02 Sept
Bohemians 1905
1 : 1
Jablonec
30 Aug
Teplice
2 : 0
Jablonec
Page 1 of 6

Liberec

(Away)
15 Sept
Vlasim
0 : 2
Liberec
12 Sept
Liberec
3 : 0
Mlada Boleslav
06 Sept
Jablonec
1 : 2
Liberec
30 Aug
Liberec
2 : 0
Hradec Kralove
26 Aug
Prepere
0 : 2
Liberec
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slavia Prague 8 6 2 0 23:5 20
2 Liberec 8 6 1 1 13:4 19
3 Sigma Olomouc 8 5 1 2 16:10 16
4 Brno 8 5 1 2 12:10 16
5 Mlada Boleslav 7 4 2 1 15:9 14
6 Hradec Kralove 8 4 2 2 8:7 14
7 Jablonec 8 4 1 3 10:8 13
8 Teplice 8 4 1 3 15:15 13
9 Sparta Prague 8 4 0 4 15:12 12
10 Plzen 8 2 4 2 16:15 10
11 Bohemians 1905 7 2 3 2 8:9 9
12 Ostrava 8 3 0 5 5:15 9
13 FK Pardubice 8 1 2 5 7:13 5
14 Artis Brno 8 1 1 6 7:18 4
15 Slovacko 8 0 3 5 5:14 3
16 Zlin 8 0 0 8 7:18 0
Promotion - Chance Liga (Championship Group)
Promotion - Chance Liga (7th-10th places)
Relegation - Chance Liga (Relegation Group)