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Jablonec vs Liberec - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Chance Liga Stadion Strelnice, Jablonec nad Nisou
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Kayondo A.
35'
Masek L.
45'
Jawo L.

AI Match Summary

The Chance Liga game between Jablonec and Liberec finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Liberec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Jablonec
20%
Draws
51%
Liberec
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Liberec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Liberec come out ahead of Jablonec on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Liberec's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Chance Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Jablonec Clean Sheet 21%
Liberec Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jablonec Liberec
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 15
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.23 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Chance Liga
Jablonec vs Liberec
1:2
May 24, 2026 Chance Liga
Jablonec vs Liberec
2:1
Apr 25, 2026 Chance Liga
Jablonec vs Liberec
1:2
Oct 25, 2025 Chance Liga
Liberec vs Jablonec
0:2
Mar 8, 2025 Chance Liga
Jablonec vs Liberec
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jablonec Compare

Top Goalscorer Alioum S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Liberec Compare

Top Goalscorer Dulay P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kusej V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jablonec 24 / 100
Liberec 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jablonec Liberec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Liberec Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jablonec found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Liberec has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Jablonec has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jablonec VS Liberec
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jablonec

(Home)
05 Nov
Riga FC
1 : 1
Jablonec
31 Oct
Jablonec
0 : 5
Slavia Prague
25 Oct
Hradec Kralove
1 : 2
Jablonec
22 Oct
Jablonec
0 : 0
Brighton
18 Oct
Jablonec
2 : 3
Plzen
Page 1 of 6

Liberec

(Away)
31 Oct
FK Pardubice
1 : 2
Liberec
27 Oct
Liberec
1 : 0
Teplice
17 Oct
Sigma Olomouc
1 : 0
Liberec
11 Oct
Liberec
0 : 2
Slovacko
03 Oct
Slask Wroclaw
0 : 3
Liberec
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slavia Prague 13 9 4 0 32:7 31
2 Mlada Boleslav 13 7 3 3 22:15 24
3 Sigma Olomouc 13 7 3 3 22:15 24
4 Sparta Prague 13 7 2 4 25:13 23
5 Liberec 12 7 2 3 15:8 23
6 Teplice 13 6 3 4 21:18 21
7 Bohemians 1905 13 5 5 3 15:14 20
8 Jablonec 13 6 2 5 16:18 20
9 Brno 13 6 2 5 16:19 20
10 Plzen 13 5 4 4 28:21 19
11 Hradec Kralove 13 4 3 6 12:18 15
12 FK Pardubice 13 4 2 7 15:19 14
13 Ostrava 12 3 2 7 7:22 11
14 Artis Brno 13 2 4 7 14:24 10
15 Slovacko 13 1 4 8 12:26 7
16 Zlin 13 0 3 10 11:26 3
Promotion - Chance Liga (Championship Group)
Promotion - Chance Liga (7th-10th places)
Relegation - Chance Liga (Relegation Group)