Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jablonec vs Mlada Boleslav

Czech Republic Czech Republic

MOL Cup 2025/2026 Stadion Strelnice, Jablonec nad Nisou
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Jawo L.
Assist: Novak F.
45'
Sub
Singhateh E. In: Alegue A.
Out: Singhateh E.
46'
Sub
Langhamer D. In: Kolarik J.
Out: Langhamer D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Jablonec advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Jablonec
20%
Draws
61%
Mlada Boleslav
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mlada Boleslav

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mlada Boleslav come out ahead of Jablonec on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Mlada Boleslav's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Mlada Boleslav arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Jablonec, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Jablonec Clean Sheet 16%
Mlada Boleslav Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jablonec Mlada Boleslav
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 16
Draws 4 8
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.24 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Jablonec vs Mlada Boleslav
5:0
Apr 21, 2026 MOL Cup
Jablonec vs Mlada Boleslav
1:0
Feb 28, 2026 Chance Liga
Mlada Boleslav vs Jablonec
3:0
Sep 28, 2025 Chance Liga
Jablonec vs Mlada Boleslav
2:0
Jun 21, 2025 Club Friendly
Mlada Boleslav vs Jablonec
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jablonec Compare

Top Goalscorer Jawo L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Mlada Boleslav Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jablonec 10 / 100
Mlada Boleslav 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jablonec Mlada Boleslav

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mlada Boleslav Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Jablonec scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Mlada Boleslav has conceded goals in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Jablonec has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jablonec VS Mlada Boleslav
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jablonec

(Home)
06 Sept
Jablonec
1 : 2
Liberec
02 Sept
Bohemians 1905
1 : 1
Jablonec
30 Aug
Teplice
2 : 0
Jablonec
27 Aug
Jablonec
2 : 0
Rangers
20 Aug
Rangers
1 : 0
Jablonec
Page 1 of 6

Mlada Boleslav

(Away)
06 Sept
Mlada Boleslav
4 : 0
Ostrava
26 Aug
Meteor Prague
0 : 4
Mlada Boleslav
22 Aug
Mlada Boleslav
2 : 1
Slovacko
15 Aug
FK Pardubice
1 : 1
Mlada Boleslav
08 Aug
Mlada Boleslav
2 : 0
Sparta Prague
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Ceska Trebova -
TBD -
TBD -
Hlinsko -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zapy -
Nachod -
TBD -
TBD -
Trutnov -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Usti nad Orlici -
Louny -
TBD -
TBD -
Chomutov -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Admira Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jablonec -
Svitavy -
TBD -
TBD -
Vysoke Myto -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chrudim -
Chotebor -
TBD -
TBD -
Zdirec nad Doubravou -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jihlava -
SK Libcany -
TBD -
TBD -
Police nad Metuji -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Velke Hamry -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dukla Prague -
Tempo Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
Kraluv Dvur -
Meteor Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
Predni Kopanina -
Sokolov -
TBD -
TBD -
Ostrov -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Usti nad Labem -
Tasovice -
TBD -
TBD -
Breclav -
Valasske Mezirici -
TBD -
TBD -
SK Hranice -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zlin -
Varnsdorf -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brozany -
Spoje Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
Chlumec nad Cidlinou -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kolin -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Slavia Prague -
FK Komarov -
TBD -
TBD -
Milin -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Domazlice -
Milevsko -
TBD -
TBD -
Spartak Sobeslav -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pisek -
Kbely -
TBD -
TBD -
Slany -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hostoun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bohemians 1905 -
Psary -
TBD -
TBD -
Benesov -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Petrin Plzen -
Litomericko -
TBD -
TBD -
Steti -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Motorlet Prague -
TJ Prestice -
TBD -
TBD -
Rokycany -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pribram -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mlada Boleslav -
Zabreh -
TBD -
TBD -
Sumperk -
Bridlicna -
TBD -
TBD -
Unicov -
Rajecko -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Kurim -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Artis Brno -
Brandys nad Labem -
TBD -
TBD -
Neratovice -
FC Pencin -
TBD -
TBD -
Hradek nad Nisou -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Liberec -
Olympie Brezova -
TBD -
TBD -
Karlovy Vary -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zizkov -
Tachov -
TBD -
TBD -
Viktoria Marianske Lazne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banik Most-Sous -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sparta Prague -
Cesky Krumlov -
TBD -
TBD -
Hluboka nad Vltavou -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Loko Praha -
SK Horovice -
TBD -
TBD -
Povltavska FA -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Taborsko -
Bohumin -
TBD -
TBD -
Polanka nad Odrou -
Vsechovice -
TBD -
TBD -
Hlubina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
MFK Karvina -
Caslav -
TBD -
TBD -
Horni Redice -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vlasim -
Krimice -
TBD -
TBD -
Doubravka -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aritma Prague -
Sparta Brno -
TBD -
TBD -
Bzenec-Vracov -
Holesov -
TBD -
TBD -
Hodonin -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Slovacko -
Humpolec -
TBD -
TBD -
FS Trebic -
Ledec nad Sazavou 0
Sperice 1
TBD -
Nove Mesto na Morave -
Rymarov -
TBD -
TBD -
Nove Sady -
Frydlant n. Ost. -
TBD -
TBD -
Hlucin -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sigma Olomouc -
Lanzhot -
TBD -
TBD -
Znojmo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Opava -
Hluk 1
Slavicin 3
TBD -
Strani -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kromeriz -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plzen -
Bohunice -
TBD -
TBD -
Velke Mezirici -
Skastice -
TBD -
TBD -
TJ Start Brno -
Slovan Havlickuv Brod -
TBD -
TBD -
Zdar nad Sazavou -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brno -
TBD -
Kosmonosy -
Dobrovice -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Velvary -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Teplice -
Jakubcovice 0
Novy Jicin 2
TBD -
Vsetin -
Cesky Tesin -
TBD -
TBD -
Trinec -
Brumov -
TBD -
TBD -
Uhersky Brod -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Prostejov -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hradec Kralove -
Vratimov FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Havirov -
Stonava -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitkovice -
Bilovec -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Kozlovice -
Petrvald na Morave -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Frydek-Mistek -
Prepere -
TBD -
TBD -
Turnov -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Ceska Lipa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Pardubice -
Benatky n. Jiz. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SK Kladno -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ceske Budejovice -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ostrava -
1/128-finals
Ceska Trebova 2
Hlinsko 3
TBD -
Zapy -
Nachod 2
Trutnov 4
TBD -
Usti nad Orlici -
Louny 1
Chomutov 4
TBD -
Admira Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jablonec -
Svitavy 0
Vysoke Myto 7
TBD -
Chrudim -
Chotebor 3
Zdirec nad Doubravou 2
TBD -
Jihlava -
SK Libcany 1
Police nad Metuji 0
TBD -
Velke Hamry -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dukla Prague -
Tempo Prague 1
Kraluv Dvur 5
Meteor Prague 2
Predni Kopanina 0
Sokolov 2
Ostrov 1
TBD -
Usti nad Labem -
Tasovice 1
Breclav 0
Valasske Mezirici 1
SK Hranice 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zlin -
Varnsdorf -
TBD -
TBD -
Brozany -
Spoje Prague 2
Chlumec nad Cidlinou 3
TBD -
Kolin -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Slavia Prague -
FK Komarov 4
Milin 3
TBD -
Domazlice -
Milevsko 2
Spartak Sobeslav 4
TBD -
Pisek -
Kbely 1
Slany 5
TBD -
Hostoun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bohemians 1905 -
Psary 3
Benesov 2
TBD -
Petrin Plzen -
Litomericko 0
Steti 4
TBD -
Motorlet Prague -
TJ Prestice 1
Rokycany 2
TBD -
Pribram -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mlada Boleslav -
Zabreh 2
Sumperk 1
Bridlicna 2
Unicov 6
Rajecko 2
FC Kurim 3
TBD -
Artis Brno -
Brandys nad Labem 3
Neratovice 2
FC Pencin 1
Hradek nad Nisou 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Liberec -
Olympie Brezova 3
Karlovy Vary 5
TBD -
Zizkov -
Tachov 1
Viktoria Marianske Lazne 6
TBD -
Banik Most-Sous -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sparta Prague -
Cesky Krumlov 1
Hluboka nad Vltavou 2
TBD -
Loko Praha -
SK Horovice 2
Povltavska FA 3
TBD -
Taborsko -
Bohumin 2
Polanka nad Odrou 1
Vsechovice 1
Hlubina 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
MFK Karvina -
Caslav 3
Horni Redice 4
TBD -
Vlasim -
Krimice 1
Doubravka 2
TBD -
Aritma Prague -
Sparta Brno 5
Bzenec-Vracov 0
Holesov 0
Hodonin 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Slovacko -
Humpolec 0
FS Trebic 1
Sperice 0
Nove Mesto na Morave 3
Rymarov 3
Nove Sady 5
Frydlant n. Ost. 0
Hlucin 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sigma Olomouc -
Lanzhot 2
Znojmo 1
TBD -
Opava -
Slavicin 1
Strani 3
TBD -
Kromeriz -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plzen -
Bohunice 4
Velke Mezirici 2
Skastice 0
TJ Start Brno 8
Slovan Havlickuv Brod 3
Zdar nad Sazavou 0
TBD -
Brno -
Kosmonosy 3
Dobrovice 1
TBD -
Velvary -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Teplice -
Novy Jicin 1
Vsetin 3
Cesky Tesin 0
Trinec 7
Brumov 1
Uhersky Brod 0
TBD -
Prostejov -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hradec Kralove -
Vratimov FC 3
Havirov 2
Stonava 1
Vitkovice 6
Bilovec 1
FK Kozlovice 3
Petrvald na Morave 0
FK Frydek-Mistek 4
Prepere 2
Turnov 1
TBD -
FK Ceska Lipa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Pardubice -
Benatky n. Jiz. -
TBD -
TBD -
SK Kladno -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ceske Budejovice -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ostrava -
1/64-finals
Hlinsko 3
Zapy 0
Trutnov 2
Usti nad Orlici 0
Chomutov 0
Admira Prague 3
TBD -
Jablonec -
Vysoke Myto 2
Chrudim 1
Chotebor 0
Jihlava 5
SK Libcany 0
Velke Hamry 6
TBD -
Dukla Prague -
Kraluv Dvur 2
Meteor Prague 1
Sokolov 0
Usti nad Labem 2
Tasovice 2
SK Hranice 3
TBD -
Zlin -
Varnsdorf 0
Brozany 2
Chlumec nad Cidlinou 1
Kolin 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Slavia Prague -
FK Komarov 1
Domazlice 2
Spartak Sobeslav 0
Pisek 4
Slany 2
Hostoun 3
TBD -
Bohemians 1905 -
Psary 2
Petrin Plzen 3
Steti 0
Motorlet Prague 1
Rokycany 3
Pribram 0
TBD -
Mlada Boleslav -
Zabreh 0
Unicov 4
FC Kurim 0
Artis Brno 2
Brandys nad Labem 2
FC Pencin 1
TBD -
Liberec -
Karlovy Vary 2
Zizkov 1
Viktoria Marianske Lazne 2
Banik Most-Sous 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sparta Prague -
Hluboka nad Vltavou 2
Loko Praha 1
Povltavska FA 0
Taborsko 8
Bohumin 4
Hlubina 1
TBD -
MFK Karvina -
Horni Redice 2
Vlasim 1
Doubravka 1
Aritma Prague 6
Sparta Brno 0
Hodonin 6
TBD -
Slovacko -
FS Trebic 3
Nove Mesto na Morave 2
Nove Sady 2
Hlucin 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sigma Olomouc -
Lanzhot 1
Opava 0
Strani 0
Kromeriz 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plzen -
Bohunice 1
TJ Start Brno 0
Slovan Havlickuv Brod 0
Brno 1
Kosmonosy 0
Velvary 3
TBD -
Teplice -
Vsetin 0
Trinec 4
Brumov 1
Prostejov 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hradec Kralove -
Vratimov FC 2
Vitkovice 1
FK Kozlovice 0
FK Frydek-Mistek 6
Prepere 0
FK Ceska Lipa 3
TBD -
FK Pardubice -
Benatky n. Jiz. 0
SK Kladno 2
TBD -
Ceske Budejovice -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ostrava -
1/32-finals
Hlinsko 2
Trutnov 1
Admira Prague 0
Jablonec 3
Vysoke Myto 0
Jihlava 1
Velke Hamry 0
Dukla Prague 2
Kraluv Dvur 4
Usti nad Labem 5
SK Hranice 0
Zlin 5
Brozany 3
Kolin 2
TBD -
Slavia Prague -
Domazlice 1
Pisek 0
Hostoun 1
Bohemians 1905 2
Petrin Plzen 1
Motorlet Prague 0
Rokycany 0
Mlada Boleslav 6
Unicov 2
Artis Brno 3
Brandys nad Labem 0
Liberec 6
Karlovy Vary 3
Banik Most-Sous 0
TBD -
Sparta Prague -
Hluboka nad Vltavou 0
Taborsko 4
Bohumin 1
MFK Karvina 6
Horni Redice 1
Aritma Prague 0
Hodonin 0
Slovacko 2
FS Trebic 1
Nove Sady 2
TBD -
Sigma Olomouc -
Lanzhot 3
Kromeriz 1
TBD -
Plzen -
Bohunice 0
Brno 4
Velvary 0
Teplice 2
Trinec 3
Prostejov 2
TBD -
Hradec Kralove -
Vratimov FC 1
FK Frydek-Mistek 4
FK Ceska Lipa 1
FK Pardubice 2
SK Kladno 2
Ceske Budejovice 3
TBD -
Ostrava -
1/16-finals
Hlinsko 0
Jablonec 2
Jihlava 0
Dukla Prague 1
Usti nad Labem 0
Zlin 2
Brozany 0
Slavia Prague 2
Domazlice 1
Bohemians 1905 4
Petrin Plzen 1
Mlada Boleslav 4
Artis Brno 2
Liberec 1
Karlovy Vary 0
Sparta Prague 5
Taborsko 1
MFK Karvina 6
Horni Redice 1
Slovacko 2
Nove Sady 3
Sigma Olomouc 2
Lanzhot 1
Plzen 6
Brno 2
Teplice 1
Trinec 3
Hradec Kralove 4
FK Frydek-Mistek 1
FK Pardubice 2
Ceske Budejovice 2
Ostrava 3
1/8-finals
Jablonec 2
Dukla Prague 1
Zlin 0
Slavia Prague 4
Bohemians 1905 0
Mlada Boleslav 1
Artis Brno 1
Sparta Prague 2
MFK Karvina 1
Slovacko 0
Nove Sady 0
Plzen 2
Brno 0
Hradec Kralove 3
FK Pardubice 3
Ostrava 4
Quarter-finals
Jablonec 3
Slavia Prague 2
Mlada Boleslav 1
Sparta Prague 0
MFK Karvina 3
Plzen 0
Hradec Kralove 0
Ostrava 1
Semi-finals
Jablonec 1
Mlada Boleslav 0
MFK Karvina 2
Ostrava 1
Final
Jablonec 1
MFK Karvina 3