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Stadium Background

Jablonec vs Ostrava - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Chance Liga Stadion Strelnice, Jablonec nad Nisou
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Micek J.
33'
Alioum S.
36'
Chalus M.

AI Match Summary

Jablonec in this Chance Liga matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jablonec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Jablonec
35%
Draws
32%
Ostrava
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jablonec lately — more wins on the board than Ostrava.
  • Model gives Jablonec a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Chance Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Jablonec here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Jablonec Clean Sheet 18%
Ostrava Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jablonec Ostrava
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.32 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Chance Liga
Jablonec vs Ostrava
3:0
Apr 11, 2026 Chance Liga
Jablonec vs Ostrava
4:1
Nov 8, 2025 Chance Liga
Ostrava vs Jablonec
0:1
Apr 27, 2025 Chance Liga
Ostrava vs Jablonec
1:2
Apr 9, 2025 MOL Cup
Jablonec vs Ostrava
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jablonec Compare

Top Goalscorer Novak F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rusek A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Ostrava Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jablonec 36 / 100
Ostrava 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jablonec Ostrava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jablonec scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Ostrava conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Jablonec has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jablonec VS Ostrava
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jablonec

(Home)
05 Nov
Riga FC
1 : 1
Jablonec
31 Oct
Jablonec
0 : 5
Slavia Prague
25 Oct
Hradec Kralove
1 : 2
Jablonec
22 Oct
Jablonec
0 : 0
Brighton
18 Oct
Jablonec
2 : 3
Plzen
Page 1 of 7

Ostrava

(Away)
01 Nov
Ostrava
0 : 4
Plzen
28 Oct
Sparta Prague
0 : 2
Ostrava
18 Oct
Ostrava
0 : 0
Sparta Prague
10 Oct
Bohemians 1905
1 : 0
Ostrava
03 Oct
GKS Katowice
1 : 1
Ostrava
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slavia Prague 13 9 4 0 32:7 31
2 Mlada Boleslav 13 7 3 3 22:15 24
3 Sigma Olomouc 13 7 3 3 22:15 24
4 Sparta Prague 13 7 2 4 25:13 23
5 Liberec 12 7 2 3 15:8 23
6 Teplice 13 6 3 4 21:18 21
7 Bohemians 1905 13 5 5 3 15:14 20
8 Jablonec 13 6 2 5 16:18 20
9 Brno 13 6 2 5 16:19 20
10 Plzen 13 5 4 4 28:21 19
11 Hradec Kralove 13 4 3 6 12:18 15
12 FK Pardubice 13 4 2 7 15:19 14
13 Ostrava 12 3 2 7 7:22 11
14 Artis Brno 13 2 4 7 14:24 10
15 Slovacko 13 1 4 8 12:26 7
16 Zlin 13 0 3 10 11:26 3
Promotion - Chance Liga (Championship Group)
Promotion - Chance Liga (7th-10th places)
Relegation - Chance Liga (Relegation Group)