Sport Picks

Brazil

Paulista A4 2011

Guariba

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Jaboticabal Atletico play Guariba in the Paulista A4 2011. It looks like a close match. Recently, Jaboticabal Atletico averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Guariba averaged 1.74 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. In past meetings, Jaboticabal Atletico won 0, Guariba won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 26, 2011 ended 3:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Jaboticabal Atletico and 1.49 for Guariba. This points to a Jaboticabal Atletico double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%

Jaboticabal Atletico

21%

Draws

38%

Guariba

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Jaboticabal Atletico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Jaboticabal Atletico picked up more points recently compared to Guariba.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.49 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 84%

Over 2.5 Goals 52%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%

Jaboticabal Atletico Clean Sheet 16%

Guariba Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 76%

Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Jaboticabal Atletico	Guariba
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	13	13
Draws	6	7
Losses	11	11
Goals Scored	1.67	1.74
Goals Conceded	1.4	1.61

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2011 Paulista A4

Guariba vs Jaboticabal Atletico

Possession: 55% - 45% Cards: 2 - 0

3:3

May 8, 2011 Paulista A4

Jaboticabal Atletico vs Guariba

Possession: 50% - 43% Cards: 3 - 2

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaboticabal Atletico 40 / 100

Guariba 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Jaboticabal Atletico Guariba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Jaboticabal Atletico or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +24.2%

3.03

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.8%

2.17

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jaboticabal Atletico attacking → ← attacking Guariba

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaboticabal Atletico scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Guariba let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Jaboticabal Atletico went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Guariba lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 46

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.88

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Votuporanguense	12	5	5	2	17:14	20
2	Bandeirante	12	5	5	2	18:11	20
3	Fernandopolis	12	5	4	3	14:7	19
4	Tupa	12	4	5	3	12:13	17
5	Jose Bonifacio EC	12	3	5	4	13:12	14
6	Tanabi	12	2	5	5	8:13	11
7	Assisense	12	3	1	8	9:21	10

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Barretos EC	12	7	5	0	25:12	26
2	Guariba	12	6	4	2	23:11	22
3	Ole Brasil	12	7	0	5	20:17	21
4	Olimpia FC	12	5	3	4	19:12	18
5	Jaboticabal Atletico	12	5	3	4	26:22	18
6	Americo EC	12	2	1	9	21:31	7
7	Matonense	12	1	2	9	7:36	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Independente SP	10	8	2	0	17:3	26
2	Palmeirinha SP	10	5	4	1	17:6	19
3	Guacuano	10	5	3	2	11:7	18
4	Brasilis	10	4	2	4	16:12	14
5	Sao Judas Tadeu	10	1	1	8	9:18	4
6	Lencoense	10	1	0	9	9:33	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Desportivo	14	9	1	4	26:16	28
2	Sumare	14	7	4	3	18:13	25
3	Cotia	14	6	5	3	27:23	23
4	Capivariano	14	5	6	3	30:20	21
5	Primavera EC	14	5	5	4	17:15	20
6	SKA Brasil	14	5	3	6	18:18	18
7	Lemense	14	4	2	8	16:30	14
8	Elosport	14	1	2	11	12:29	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Guarulhos	14	10	0	4	27:16	30
2	Jacarei (Inactive)	14	8	3	3	21:13	27
3	FC Primeira Camisa	14	6	6	2	25:13	24
4	ECUS SP	14	6	2	6	12:15	20
5	Uniao Suzano	14	5	4	5	21:18	19
6	Jacarei FC	14	5	3	6	14:18	18
7	Manthiqueira	14	2	4	8	10:22	10
8	Uniao Mogi	14	2	2	10	13:28	8

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portuguesa Santista	14	10	1	3	21:7	31
2	Sao Vicente	14	9	2	3	29:19	29
3	EC Sao Bernardo	14	8	2	4	26:14	26
4	Guaruja	14	7	2	5	19:16	23
5	Mauaense	14	6	4	4	27:17	22
6	Jabaquara	14	7	0	7	21:24	21
7	Nacional SP	14	1	2	11	16:32	5
8	Palestra	14	1	1	12	8:38	4