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Jacarei FC vs AEA Aracatuba

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Lanza T.
67' Event
Kaynan

AI Match Summary

Jacarei FC in this Paulista A4 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jacarei FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Jacarei FC
6%
Draws
4%
AEA Aracatuba
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Jacarei FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Jacarei FC have won more games recently than AEA Aracatuba.
  • Jacarei FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%
Jacarei FC Clean Sheet 68%
AEA Aracatuba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jacarei FC AEA Aracatuba
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 11 8
Draws 11 5
Losses 8 20
Goals Scored 0.75 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.5 3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2026 Paulista A4
Jacarei FC vs AEA Aracatuba
2:0
Mar 12, 2025 Paulista A4
Jacarei FC vs AEA Aracatuba
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jacarei FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Lanza T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kaynan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

AEA Aracatuba Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jacarei FC 95 / 100
AEA Aracatuba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jacarei FC AEA Aracatuba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AEA Aracatuba's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

AEA Aracatuba let in goals in 76% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Jacarei FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jacarei FC VS AEA Aracatuba
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 3
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inter de Bebedouro15103221:633
2Sao Caetano1592423:1429
3Penapolense1585222:1029
4Sao-Carlense1575320:1326
5Barretos EC1575312:1026
6Taquaritinga1573520:1324
7Jacarei FC1565411:923
8Lemense1564514:1222
9ECUS SP1557311:622
10Comercial1562717:1620
11Tanabi1546512:1018
12Jabaquara1544714:1716
13Vocem1536612:1315
14Colorado Caieiras151776:2010
15Nacional SP1522117:228
16AEA Aracatuba1512126:375