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Jacarei FC vs Barueri

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jacarei FC play Barueri in the Paulista A3 2015. Jacarei FC are favorites here. Recently, Jacarei FC averaged 0.91 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. Barueri averaged 0.77 goals scored and 3.1 conceded. In past meetings, Jacarei FC won 1, Barueri won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 24, 2016 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Jacarei FC and 1.06 for Barueri. This points to a Jacarei FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Jacarei FC
25%
Draws
12%
Barueri
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Jacarei FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

94% / Very High Confidence
  • Jacarei FC picked up more points recently compared to Barueri.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Jacarei FC Clean Sheet 22%
Barueri Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jacarei FC Barueri
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 3
Draws 12 3
Losses 8 24
Goals Scored 0.91 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.75 3.1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2016 Paulista A3
Barueri vs Jacarei FC
0:1
Mar 15, 2015 Paulista A3
Jacarei FC vs Barueri
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jacarei FC 61 / 100
Barueri 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jacarei FC Barueri

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jacarei FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Jacarei FC & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.82
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jacarei FC attacking → ← attacking Barueri

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jacarei FC scored in 56% of their last 32 games.

Barueri let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Jacarei FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Barueri lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 12
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Juventus-SP19123436:1639
2Lemense19102725:1932
3Taubate1995534:2032
4Votuporanguense1995532:2332
5Internacional de Limeira1995522:1832
6Primavera EC1994627:1731
7Barretos EC1987429:2531
8GE Osasco1985618:1729
9Nacional SP1978425:1729
10Sao Jose EC1978430:2429
11Jacarei FC1978424:1929
12Sertaozinho1976622:2127
13Flamengo SP1966720:2624
14Itapirense1958618:1623
15Barueri1964921:2322
16Cotia19701219:3121
17Rio Preto EC1955922:2820
18Tupa1946920:2618
19Santacruzense19341217:4113
20Francana19131517:516