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Jacioba U20 vs Independente Atalaia U20

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano U20 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jacioba U20 play Independente Atalaia U20 in the Alagoano U20 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Jacioba U20 averaged 1.41 goals scored and 1.76 conceded. Independente Atalaia U20 averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. In past meetings, Jacioba U20 won 2, Independente Atalaia U20 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 19, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.15 for Jacioba U20 and 1.58 for Independente Atalaia U20. This points to a Jacioba U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Jacioba U20
21%
Draws
34%
Independente Atalaia U20
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Jacioba U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Jacioba U20 picked up more points recently compared to Independente Atalaia U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.15 vs 1.58 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Jacioba U20 Clean Sheet 14%
Independente Atalaia U20 Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jacioba U20 Independente Atalaia U20
Matches Played 29 14
Wins 12 6
Draws 6 1
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.41 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2025 Alagoano U20
Jacioba U20 vs Independente Atalaia U20
0:0
Aug 4, 2024 Alagoano U20
Jacioba U20 vs Independente Atalaia U20
2:0
Jul 27, 2024 Alagoano U20
Independente Atalaia U20 vs Jacioba U20
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jacioba U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer da Silva Santos Pereira L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Patrick
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Independente Atalaia U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.93

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jacioba U20 43 / 100
Independente Atalaia U20 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jacioba U20 Independente Atalaia U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Jacioba U20 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jacioba U20 attacking → ← attacking Independente Atalaia U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jacioba U20 scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Independente Atalaia U20 let in goals in 64% of their last 14 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Jacioba U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Independente Atalaia U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 19
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.67
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.67