Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jacksa Spears vs Vasco Da Gama

South Africa South Africa

Nedbank Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Tsenodi K.
17'
May M.
41' Event
Olyn I.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Jacksa Spears
15%
Draws
34%
Vasco Da Gama
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jacksa Spears

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Jacksa Spears have won more games recently than Vasco Da Gama.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Jacksa Spears taking it.
  • Jacksa Spears have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Jacksa Spears, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Jacksa Spears Clean Sheet 15%
Vasco Da Gama Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jacksa Spears Vasco Da Gama
Matches Played 4 3
Wins 2 1
Draws 0 0
Losses 2 2
Goals Scored 1.25 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.75 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Nedbank Cup
Jacksa Spears vs Vasco Da Gama
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jacksa Spears Compare

Top Goalscorer Olyn I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Vasco Da Gama Compare

Avg xG / game 1.4
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jacksa Spears 48 / 100
Vasco Da Gama 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jacksa Spears Vasco Da Gama

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jacksa Spears Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasco Da Gama's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 3 matches.

Jacksa Spears found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (4 games).

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Jacksa Spears stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jacksa Spears VS Vasco Da Gama
1.25 Goals Scored 1.33
1.75 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Jacksa Spears

(Home)
08 Mar
TS Galaxy
2 : 0
Jacksa Spears
22 Feb
Jacksa Spears
1 : 0
Vasco Da Gama
07 Feb
Cardinals
2 : 4
Jacksa Spears
27 Feb
African Warriors
3 : 0
Jacksa Spears

Vasco Da Gama

(Away)
22 Feb
Jacksa Spears
1 : 0
Vasco Da Gama
06 Feb
Vasco Da Gama
4 : 1
Luthuli Brigades
29 Jan
TS Galaxy
7 : 0
Vasco Da Gama

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
TS Galaxy -
TBD -
TBD -
Marumo Gallants -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
TBD -
The Bees 0
Gomora United 1
Cardinals -
TBD -
TBD -
Jacksa Spears -
Vasco Da Gama -
TBD -
TBD -
Luthuli Brigades -
Hungry Lions 2
Venda 1
Leicesterford City 1
Pretoria U. 2
Kruger United 0
Highbury 3
TBD -
Sekhukhune -
SSU M-17 -
TBD -
Milford 2
Baroka 0
Mkhambathi -
TBD -
Lerumo Lions 1
Midlands Wanderers 0
Golden Arrows -
TBD -
TBD -
Orbit College -
Stellenbosch FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Kaizer Chiefs -
Cape Town City 0
Upington City 1
TBD -
Magesi -
Durban City -
TBD -
TBD -
Chippa Utd. -
Polokwane City -
TBD -
TBD -
AmaZulu -
Siwelele -
TBD -
TBD -
Richards Bay -
Army Rocket -
TBD -
Black Leopards 0
Real Native 1
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila -
TBD -
TBD -
Orlando Pirates -
1/16-finals
TS Galaxy 1
Marumo Gallants 0
Mamelodi Sundowns 2
Gomora United 1
Cardinals 2
Jacksa Spears 4
Vasco Da Gama 4
Luthuli Brigades 1
Hungry Lions 1
Pretoria U. 2
Highbury 0
Sekhukhune 1
SSU M-17 1
Milford 2
Mkhambathi 2
Lerumo Lions 1
Golden Arrows 3
Orbit College 0
Stellenbosch FC 2
Kaizer Chiefs 1
Upington City 1
Magesi 0
Durban City 1
Chippa Utd. 0
Polokwane City 1
AmaZulu 2
Siwelele 3
Richards Bay 4
Army Rocket 0
Real Native 3
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila 1
Orlando Pirates 4
1/8-finals
TS Galaxy 2
Mamelodi Sundowns 0
Jacksa Spears 1
Vasco Da Gama 0
Pretoria U. 0
Sekhukhune 1
Milford 3
Mkhambathi 0
Golden Arrows 1
Stellenbosch FC 0
Upington City 0
Durban City 1
AmaZulu 1
Richards Bay 0
Real Native 1
Orlando Pirates 0
Quarter-finals
TS Galaxy 2
Jacksa Spears 0
Sekhukhune 2
Milford 3
Golden Arrows 1
Durban City 2
AmaZulu 1
Real Native 2
Semi-finals
TS Galaxy 2
Milford 1
Durban City 1
Real Native 0
Final
TS Galaxy 1
Durban City 2