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Jacksonville Armada vs Edmonton

USA USA

NASL
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
George K.
39' Event
Blake J.
40'
Eustaquio M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NASL matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Jacksonville Armada
15%
Draws
26%
Edmonton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jacksonville Armada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jacksonville Armada lately — more wins on the board than Edmonton.
  • Jacksonville Armada are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Jacksonville Armada have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Jacksonville Armada Clean Sheet 68%
Edmonton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jacksonville Armada Edmonton
Matches Played 31 37
Wins 11 6
Draws 9 10
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 1.23 1
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2017 NASL
Jacksonville Armada vs Edmonton
1:1
Oct 7, 2017 NASL
Edmonton vs Jacksonville Armada
0:1
Jul 1, 2017 NASL
Jacksonville Armada vs Edmonton
1:0
Apr 9, 2017 NASL
Edmonton vs Jacksonville Armada
0:1
Apr 2, 2017 NASL
Jacksonville Armada vs Edmonton
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jacksonville Armada Compare

Top Goalscorer Blake J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Edmonton Compare

Top Goalscorer Keegan J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jacksonville Armada 68 / 100
Edmonton 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jacksonville Armada Edmonton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jacksonville Armada Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Edmonton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 37 matches.

Attacking prowess: Jacksonville Armada scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Jacksonville Armada has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Edmonton's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Edmonton
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jacksonville Armada

(Home)
23 May
Jacksonville Armada
0 : 2
Miami United
17 May
Jacksonville Armada
1 : 0
Tampa Bay
09 May
Sima Aguilas
0 : 2
Jacksonville Armada
21 Feb
DC United
2 : 1
Jacksonville Armada
29 Oct
San Francisco Deltas
0 : 2
Jacksonville Armada
Page 1 of 7

Edmonton

(Away)
08 Oct
Edmonton
3 : 1
Valour
01 Oct
Pacific FC
1 : 0
Edmonton
25 Sept
Edmonton
1 : 1
Forge FC
17 Sept
Edmonton
0 : 1
Cavalry
09 Sept
Inter Toronto
3 : 1
Edmonton
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Miami FC 16 10 3 3 28:17 33
2 San Francisco Deltas 16 7 7 2 24:15 28
3 North Carolina FC 16 5 9 2 25:15 24
4 New York Cosmos 16 4 9 3 34:30 21
5 Jacksonville Armada 16 4 7 5 21:22 19
6 Puerto Rico FC 16 4 4 8 13:23 16
7 Edmonton 16 3 5 8 14:21 14
8 Indy Eleven 16 3 4 9 18:34 13
Promotion - NASL (Play Offs)