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Jacobina U20 vs Bahia U20

Brazil Brazil

Baiano U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jacobina U20 play Bahia U20 in the Baiano U20. Bahia U20 are favorites here. Recently, Jacobina U20 averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.59 conceded. Bahia U20 averaged 2.9 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Jacobina U20 won 1, Bahia U20 won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 6:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Jacobina U20 and 0.85 for Bahia U20. This points to a Bahia U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Jacobina U20
15%
Draws
58%
Bahia U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bahia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Jacobina U20 picked up more points recently compared to Bahia U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 0.85 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Jacobina U20 Clean Sheet 25%
Bahia U20 Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jacobina U20 Bahia U20
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 18
Draws 3 6
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 0.97 2.9
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.71 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.57 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Baiano U20
Bahia U20 vs Jacobina U20
6:2
Jun 28, 2026 Baiano U20
Jacobina U20 vs Bahia U20
0:3
May 21, 2026 Baiano U20
Jacobina U20 vs Bahia U20
1:0
Mar 14, 2026 Baiano U20
Bahia U20 vs Jacobina U20
6:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jacobina U20 29 / 100
Bahia U20 55 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jacobina U20 Bahia U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bahia U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Bahia U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jacobina U20 attacking → ← attacking Bahia U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jacobina U20 scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Bahia U20 let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.75 goals.

Jacobina U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bahia U20 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 60
0.71 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.57 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bahia U2014121162:837
2Galicia U201491424:1428
3Camacariense U201490537:2127
4SSA U201462629:1520
5Jacobina U201462618:1820
6Juazeirense U201453616:2518
7Feirense U2014301111:359
8Camacari U201411126:674
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vitoria U2014121149:1437
2Fluminense de Feira U201483330:1827
3Jacuipense U201473424:1524
4Estrela De Marco U201464418:1622
5Alagoinhas U201463526:2321
6Bahia de Feira U201441916:2513
7Redencao U2014311017:3610
8Leonico U201412119:425
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Porto-BA U2014103131:1733
2Conquista FC U201494123:731
3Vitoria da Conquista U201464425:1122
4Barcelona FC U201453616:1618
5Grapiuna U201452718:1617
6Serrano U201451820:3016
7Jequie U201443718:2215
8Catuense U2014201216:486