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Jacobina vs Galicia

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2022
Jacobina Logo

Jacobina

2 - 3
FT
Galicia Logo

Galicia

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Galicia in this Baiano 2 2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Galicia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Jacobina
15%
Draws
57%
Galicia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Galicia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Galicia lately — more wins on the board than Jacobina.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Galicia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Jacobina Clean Sheet 15%
Galicia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jacobina Galicia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 8 10
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.77 1.13
Goals Conceded 2 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2023 Baiano 2
Jacobina vs Galicia
3:1
May 22, 2022 Baiano 2
Jacobina vs Galicia
2:3
Feb 19, 2017 Baiano
Jacobina vs Galicia
3:0
Feb 11, 2016 Baiano
Galicia vs Jacobina
3:0
Feb 1, 2015 Baiano
Jacobina vs Galicia
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jacobina 10 / 100
Galicia 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jacobina Galicia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Galicia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Galicia conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Galicia registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Jacobina scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jacobina VS Galicia
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jacobina

(Home)
05 Jul
Jacobina
0 : 5
Feira FC
19 Jun
Leonico
5 : 2
Jacobina
13 Jun
Jacobina
0 : 6
Fluminense de Feira
07 Jun
Barreiras
2 : 1
Jacobina
31 May
Jacobina
2 : 0
Camacari
Page 1 of 6

Galicia

(Away)
22 Feb
Vitoria
3 : 0
Galicia
12 Feb
Galicia
2 : 1
Jequie
07 Feb
Porto-BA
1 : 0
Galicia
04 Feb
Galicia
1 : 2
Bahia de Feira
27 Jan
Galicia
1 : 0
Alagoinhas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jequie 11 7 1 3 14:10 22
2 Jacobinense 11 6 2 3 17:9 20
3 Juazeiro 11 5 5 1 18:8 20
4 Itabuna 11 5 4 2 15:10 19
5 Jacobina 11 5 2 4 17:10 17
6 Botafogo BA 11 4 4 3 11:12 16
7 Galicia 11 4 3 4 11:12 15
8 CE Flamengo 11 4 2 5 10:8 14
9 Fluminense de Feira 11 3 4 4 8:12 13
10 Canaa EC 11 2 5 4 13:16 11
11 Feirense 11 2 1 8 7:18 7
12 Grapiuna 11 1 3 7 6:22 6
Promotion - Baiano 2 2022 (Play Offs)