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Jacobina vs Itabuna

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2022
Jacobina Logo

Jacobina

2 - 1
FT
Itabuna Logo

Itabuna

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Jacobina in this Baiano 2 2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jacobina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Jacobina
20%
Draws
58%
Itabuna
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Itabuna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Itabuna lately — more wins on the board than Jacobina.
  • Itabuna are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Baiano 2 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Jacobina have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Jacobina Clean Sheet 10%
Itabuna Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jacobina Itabuna
Matches Played 38 42
Wins 10 20
Draws 11 14
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 0.76 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2024 Baiano
Jacobina vs Itabuna
1:1
Jun 16, 2022 Baiano 2
Jacobina vs Itabuna
2:1
Apr 27, 2014 Baiano 2
Itabuna vs Jacobina
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jacobina 10 / 100
Itabuna 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jacobina Itabuna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Jacobina found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (38 games).

Itabuna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 42 matches.

Jacobina has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jacobina VS Itabuna
1.13 Goals Scored 2.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jacobina

(Home)
05 Jul
Jacobina
0 : 5
Feira FC
19 Jun
Leonico
5 : 2
Jacobina
13 Jun
Jacobina
0 : 6
Fluminense de Feira
07 Jun
Barreiras
2 : 1
Jacobina
31 May
Jacobina
2 : 0
Camacari
Page 1 of 8

Itabuna

(Away)
13 Jul
Itabuna
0 : 1
Galicia
06 Jul
Galicia
0 : 0
Itabuna
29 Jun
SSA
0 : 0
Itabuna
15 Jun
Itabuna
1 : 0
Bahia de Feira
08 Jun
Teixeira de Freitas
0 : 3
Itabuna
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jequie 11 7 1 3 14:10 22
2 Jacobinense 11 6 2 3 17:9 20
3 Juazeiro 11 5 5 1 18:8 20
4 Itabuna 11 5 4 2 15:10 19
5 Jacobina 11 5 2 4 17:10 17
6 Botafogo BA 11 4 4 3 11:12 16
7 Galicia 11 4 3 4 11:12 15
8 CE Flamengo 11 4 2 5 10:8 14
9 Fluminense de Feira 11 3 4 4 8:12 13
10 Canaa EC 11 2 5 4 13:16 11
11 Feirense 11 2 1 8 7:18 7
12 Grapiuna 11 1 3 7 6:22 6
Promotion - Baiano 2 2022 (Play Offs)