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Jacobina W vs Camacariense W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Baiano Women
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Baiano Women. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Camacariense W have shipped 2.91 goals a game lately, while Jacobina W have conceded 2.54 and scored 4.46. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (3.38 - 1.81) back Jacobina W to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Jacobina W
15%
Draws
27%
Camacariense W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jacobina W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Jacobina W have won more games recently than Camacariense W.
  • Win probability leans Jacobina W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Jacobina W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Jacobina W Clean Sheet 11%
Camacariense W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jacobina W Camacariense W
Matches Played 13 11
Wins 7 4
Draws 1 1
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 4.46 2.64
Goals Conceded 2.54 2.91
Expected Goals (xG) 3.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jacobina W 83 / 100
Camacariense W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jacobina W Camacariense W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jacobina W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jacobina W's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 13 recent games.

Camacariense W has conceded goals in 82% of their last 11 outings.

Jacobina W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Camacariense W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jacobina W VS Camacariense W
5.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jacobina W

(Home)
07 Oct
Bahia W
2 : 2
Jacobina W
27 Sept
Jacobina W
8 : 0
Botafogo BA W
20 Sept
Jacuipense W
0 : 6
Jacobina W
13 Sept
Porto-BA W
0 : 16
Jacobina W
06 Sept
Jacobina W
7 : 0
Barcelona FC W
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Camacariense W

(Away)
07 Oct
Galicia W
7 : 0
Camacariense W
26 Sept
Camacariense W
15 : 0
Juazeirense W
19 Sept
Vitoria W
13 : 0
Camacariense W
12 Sept
CFFB W
1 : 4
Camacariense W
05 Sept
Camacariense W
1 : 2
Jequie W
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Vitoria W -
Barcelona FC W -
Jacobina W -
Camacariense W -
Bahia W -
Jacuipense W -
Galicia W -
Jequie W -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -