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Jacobinense vs Itabuna

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-2. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Jacobinense
30%
Draws
62%
Itabuna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Itabuna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / Very High Confidence
  • Itabuna carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Itabuna a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Itabuna arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Jacobinense Clean Sheet 10%
Itabuna Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jacobinense Itabuna
Matches Played 31 40
Wins 8 19
Draws 6 13
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 0.67 1.25
Goals Conceded 3 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2023 Baiano
Itabuna vs Jacobinense
1:0
Aug 13, 2022 Baiano 2
Jacobinense vs Itabuna
2:2
Jul 31, 2022 Baiano 2
Itabuna vs Jacobinense
2:1
Jul 10, 2022 Baiano 2
Jacobinense vs Itabuna
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jacobinense 10 / 100
Itabuna 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jacobinense Itabuna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jacobinense's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Itabuna let in goals in 55% of their last 40 matches.

Jacobinense went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jacobinense VS Itabuna
0.67 Goals Scored 1.25
3 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 38%
67% Over 2.5 38%
67% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jacobinense

(Home)
14 Jul
Porto-BA
2 : 0
Jacobinense
07 Jul
Jacobinense
1 : 3
Galicia
03 Jul
Grapiuna
4 : 1
Jacobinense
29 Jun
Jacobinense
1 : 1
Vitoria da Conquista
25 Jun
SSA
4 : 1
Jacobinense
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Itabuna

(Away)
13 Jul
Itabuna
0 : 1
Galicia
06 Jul
Galicia
0 : 0
Itabuna
29 Jun
SSA
0 : 0
Itabuna
15 Jun
Itabuna
1 : 0
Bahia de Feira
08 Jun
Teixeira de Freitas
0 : 3
Itabuna
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Itabuna 2
Jequie 1
Juazeiro 2
Jacobinense 2
Final
Itabuna 4
Jacobinense 3