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Jacuipense U20 vs Bahia U20

Brazil Brazil

Baiano U20 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jacuipense U20 play Bahia U20 in the Baiano U20 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Jacuipense U20 averaged 1.65 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. Bahia U20 averaged 2.85 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Jacuipense U20 won 0, Bahia U20 won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jul 26, 2025 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Jacuipense U20 and 1.52 for Bahia U20. This points to a Bahia U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Jacuipense U20
30%
Draws
39%
Bahia U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bahia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Jacuipense U20 picked up more points recently compared to Bahia U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.52 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Jacuipense U20 Clean Sheet 15%
Bahia U20 Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jacuipense U20 Bahia U20
Matches Played 34 40
Wins 16 23
Draws 10 9
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.65 2.85
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.71 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.29 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2025 Baiano U20
Bahia U20 vs Jacuipense U20
2:0
Jul 19, 2025 Baiano U20
Jacuipense U20 vs Bahia U20
1:1
Jun 28, 2025 Baiano U20
Jacuipense U20 vs Bahia U20
3:3
Mar 29, 2025 Baiano U20
Bahia U20 vs Jacuipense U20
5:1
May 12, 2024 Baiano U20
Jacuipense U20 vs Bahia U20
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jacuipense U20 31 / 100
Bahia U20 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jacuipense U20 Bahia U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bahia U20 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +34.8%
4.35
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jacuipense U20 attacking → ← attacking Bahia U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jacuipense U20 scored in 68% of their last 34 games.

Bahia U20 let in goals in 68% of their last 40 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Jacuipense U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Bahia U20 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

58 Points in last 5 78
1.71 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.29 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88