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Jacuipense vs Bahia de Feira Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Baiano Estadio Governador Roberto Santos (Pituacu), Salvador
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Pedrao
19' Event
Thiaguinho
29' Event
Pedro Henrique

AI Match Summary

The Baiano game between Jacuipense and Bahia de Feira finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jacuipense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Jacuipense
35%
Draws
39%
Bahia de Feira
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bahia de Feira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Bahia de Feira carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Jacuipense Clean Sheet 18%
Bahia de Feira Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jacuipense Bahia de Feira
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 9
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Baiano
Jacuipense vs Bahia de Feira
3:1
Feb 1, 2024 Baiano
Jacuipense vs Bahia de Feira
1:0
Jul 2, 2023 Serie D
Jacuipense vs Bahia de Feira
0:0
May 27, 2023 Serie D
Bahia de Feira vs Jacuipense
2:2
Feb 5, 2023 Baiano
Bahia de Feira vs Jacuipense
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jacuipense Compare

Top Goalscorer Thiaguinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pedro Henrique
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Bahia de Feira Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedrao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jacuipense 36 / 100
Bahia de Feira 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jacuipense Bahia de Feira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bahia de Feira Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jacuipense found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Bahia de Feira conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Jacuipense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jacuipense VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jacuipense

(Home)
28 Jun
Treze PB
0 : 0
Jacuipense
21 Jun
Jacuipense
1 : 3
Treze PB
14 Jun
Jacuipense
1 : 1
ASA
31 May
CSA
1 : 1
Jacuipense
24 May
Jacuipense
2 : 2
Juazeirense
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Bahia de Feira

(Away)
22 Feb
Jacuipense
3 : 1
Bahia de Feira
18 Feb
Vitoria
1 : 0
Bahia de Feira
11 Feb
Bahia de Feira
6 : 1
Barcelona FC
04 Feb
Galicia
1 : 2
Bahia de Feira
29 Jan
Bahia de Feira
1 : 2
Jequie
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahia 9 7 2 0 26:9 23
2 Vitoria 9 4 4 1 13:4 16
3 Jacuipense 9 3 4 2 11:10 13
4 Juazeirense 9 3 4 2 7:9 13
5 Jequie 9 3 3 3 15:13 12
6 Porto-BA 9 2 5 2 10:12 11
7 Barcelona FC 9 2 4 3 7:15 10
8 Galicia 9 3 0 6 7:14 9
9 Bahia de Feira 9 2 3 4 11:12 9
10 Alagoinhas 9 0 3 6 5:14 3
Promotion - Baiano (Play Offs)
Relegation - Baiano 2 2027 (Main)