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Jacuipense W vs Lusaca W

Brazil Brazil

Baiano Women 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lusaca W in this Baiano Women 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lusaca W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Jacuipense W
15%
Draws
42%
Lusaca W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jacuipense W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Lusaca W have won more games recently than Jacuipense W.
  • Jacuipense W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Baiano Women 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Jacuipense W Clean Sheet 10%
Lusaca W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jacuipense W Lusaca W
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 8 13
Draws 1 3
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 1.34 1.69
Goals Conceded 3.48 3.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2023 Baiano Women
Jacuipense W vs Lusaca W
1:4
Sep 28, 2022 Baiano Women
Jacuipense W vs Lusaca W
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jacuipense W 83 / 100
Lusaca W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jacuipense W Lusaca W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jacuipense W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jacuipense W scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Lusaca W let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Lusaca W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jacuipense W VS Lusaca W
1.88 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jacuipense W

(Home)
20 Sept
Jacuipense W
0 : 6
Jacobina W
12 Sept
Barcelona FC W
0 : 2
Jacuipense W
07 Sept
Jacuipense W
0 : 5
Bahia W
04 Oct
Jacuipense W
3 : 1
CFFB W
27 Sept
Sao Francisco BA W
3 : 2
Jacuipense W
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Lusaca W

(Away)
25 Oct
Bahia W
14 : 2
Lusaca W
18 Oct
Lusaca W
0 : 8
Bahia W
11 Oct
Sao Francisco BA W
0 : 2
Lusaca W
04 Oct
Lusaca W
1 : 0
Juazeirense W
27 Sept
Vitoria W
4 : 0
Lusaca W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahia W 7 7 0 0 50:3 21
2 Vitoria W 7 5 1 1 16:5 16
3 AD Astro W 7 5 0 2 15:7 15
4 Lusaca W 7 4 1 2 22:11 13
5 Jacuipense W 7 3 0 4 14:17 9
6 Alagoinhas W 7 2 0 5 8:16 6
7 Leonico W 7 1 0 6 3:26 3
8 Redencao W 7 0 0 7 1:44 0
Promotion - Baiano Women 2023 (Play Offs)