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Stadium Background

Jadran Dekani vs Bistrica

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

85' Event
Fortuna N.

AI Match Summary

Jadran Dekani in this 2. SNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jadran Dekani.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Jadran Dekani
22%
Draws
18%
Bistrica
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Jadran Dekani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Bistrica haven't matched Jadran Dekani's recent run of results.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Jadran Dekani taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Jadran Dekani Clean Sheet 68%
Bistrica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jadran Dekani Bistrica
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 8 5
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 2. SNL
Jadran Dekani vs Bistrica
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 2. SNL
Bistrica vs Jadran Dekani
2:0
May 17, 2025 2. SNL
Bistrica vs Jadran Dekani
8:2
Nov 9, 2024 2. SNL
Jadran Dekani vs Bistrica
1:1
Nov 19, 2023 2. SNL
Bistrica vs Jadran Dekani
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jadran Dekani Compare

Top Goalscorer Fortuna N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Bistrica Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jadran Dekani 68 / 100
Bistrica 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jadran Dekani Bistrica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Jadran Dekani scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Bistrica has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Bistrica's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jadran Dekani VS Bistrica
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Grosuplje30236170:2675
2Nafta30236165:2375
3Triglav30204672:2864
4Beltinci30186655:2560
5Tabor Sezana301551037:3350
6Bistrica301361150:3645
7Dravinja301071332:4437
8Rudar309101146:3937
9Bilje30971427:4734
10Jadran Dekani30891340:4633
11Slovan Ljubljana30951632:5232
12NK Krka306111332:5129
13Ilirija30691538:5227
14Krsko Posavje30751824:6226
15ND Gorica304101631:4522
16Jesenice30462026:6818