Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jadran Dekani vs NK Krka

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Fortuna N.
30' Event
Gliha M.
39' Event
Subasic S.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The 2. SNL 2025/2026 game between Jadran Dekani and NK Krka finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jadran Dekani.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Jadran Dekani
30%
Draws
35%
NK Krka
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • NK Krka haven't matched Jadran Dekani's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Jadran Dekani a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Jadran Dekani Clean Sheet 20%
NK Krka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jadran Dekani NK Krka
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 9 7
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 2. SNL
NK Krka vs Jadran Dekani
1:2
May 23, 2026 2. SNL
Jadran Dekani vs NK Krka
4:3
Nov 14, 2025 2. SNL
NK Krka vs Jadran Dekani
1:0
Mar 8, 2025 2. SNL
NK Krka vs Jadran Dekani
2:1
Aug 24, 2024 2. SNL
Jadran Dekani vs NK Krka
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jadran Dekani Compare

Top Goalscorer Fortuna N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cordas F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

NK Krka Compare

Top Goalscorer Gliha M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Meze T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jadran Dekani 36 / 100
NK Krka 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jadran Dekani NK Krka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

NK Krka has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Jadran Dekani stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: NK Krka has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jadran Dekani VS NK Krka
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 2
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jadran Dekani

(Home)
20 Sept
NK Krka
1 : 2
Jadran Dekani
13 Sept
Jadran Dekani
0 : 0
Beltinci
04 Sept
Jadran Dekani
0 : 0
Tabor Sezana
29 Aug
Krsko Posavje
0 : 0
Jadran Dekani
21 Aug
Jadran Dekani
0 : 2
Jesenice
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NK Krka

(Away)
20 Sept
NK Krka
1 : 2
Jadran Dekani
12 Sept
Krsko Posavje
0 : 1
NK Krka
05 Sept
NK Krka
2 : 0
Jesenice
28 Aug
Primorje
3 : 2
NK Krka
21 Aug
NK Krka
2 : 3
Slovan Ljubljana
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosuplje 30 23 6 1 70:26 75
2 Nafta 30 23 6 1 65:23 75
3 Triglav 30 20 4 6 72:28 64
4 Beltinci 30 18 6 6 55:25 60
5 Tabor Sezana 30 15 5 10 37:33 50
6 Bistrica 30 13 6 11 50:36 45
7 Dravinja 30 10 7 13 32:44 37
8 Rudar 30 9 10 11 46:39 37
9 Bilje 30 9 7 14 27:47 34
10 Jadran Dekani 30 8 9 13 40:46 33
11 Slovan Ljubljana 30 9 5 16 32:52 32
12 NK Krka 30 6 11 13 32:51 29
13 Ilirija 30 6 9 15 38:52 27
14 Krsko Posavje 30 7 5 18 24:62 26
15 ND Gorica 30 4 10 16 31:45 22
16 Jesenice 30 4 6 20 26:68 18
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)