Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jadran Dekani vs Radomlje

Slovenia Slovenia

Slovenian Cup 2025/2026 Igrišče Ivan Gregorič, Dekani
Wed, Mar 4, 2026
2 - 4
02:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Zonta T.
31'
Fink G.
34'
Ikenna D.

AI Match Summary

Radomlje in this Slovenian Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Jadran Dekani
35%
Draws
6%
Radomlje
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Jadran Dekani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Jadran Dekani have won more games recently than Radomlje.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Jadran Dekani taking it.
  • Jadran Dekani have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Radomlje, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Jadran Dekani Clean Sheet 20%
Radomlje Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jadran Dekani Radomlje
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 10 7
Draws 9 4
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.09 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2026 Slovenian Cup
Jadran Dekani vs Radomlje
2:4
Mar 28, 2021 2. SNL
Radomlje vs Jadran Dekani
0:0
Sep 6, 2020 2. SNL
Jadran Dekani vs Radomlje
0:1
Mar 22, 2020 2. SNL
Radomlje vs Jadran Dekani
0:0
Sep 7, 2019 2. SNL
Jadran Dekani vs Radomlje
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jadran Dekani Compare

Top Goalscorer Fortuna N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Radomlje Compare

Top Goalscorer Krapukhin S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jojic N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jadran Dekani 85 / 100
Radomlje 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jadran Dekani Radomlje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jadran Dekani Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Radomlje let in goals in 96% of their last 28 matches.

Jadran Dekani has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Radomlje registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jadran Dekani VS Radomlje
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jadran Dekani

(Home)
25 Sept
Jadran Dekani
1 : 0
Ilirija
20 Sept
NK Krka
1 : 2
Jadran Dekani
13 Sept
Jadran Dekani
0 : 0
Beltinci
04 Sept
Jadran Dekani
0 : 0
Tabor Sezana
29 Aug
Krsko Posavje
0 : 0
Jadran Dekani
Page 1 of 7

Radomlje

(Away)
20 Sept
Grosuplje
2 : 1
Radomlje
13 Sept
Radomlje
0 : 3
Maribor
04 Sept
Nafta
3 : 1
Radomlje
29 Aug
Radomlje
0 : 0
O. Ljubljana
16 Aug
Radomlje
1 : 3
Aluminij
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Tromejnik Montpreis 0
Jadran Dekani 3
Malecnik 2
Kamnik 1
Beltinci 1
Radomlje 3
Tabor Sezana 1
Primorje 4
Grosuplje 2
Maribor 1
Stojnci 0
Bistrica 18
Sencur 1
O. Ljubljana 2
Makole Bar Miha 0
Celje 4
Fama Vipava 1
Bravo 2
Ljutomer 0
Rudar 3
Dravinja 1
Mura 2
Skofja Loka 1
Nafta 6
Odranci 2
Fuzinar 4
Race 2
NK Krka 1
Ziri 1
Aluminij 6
NK Polana 1
Zavrc 0
1/8-finals
Jadran Dekani 2
Malecnik 0
Radomlje 3
Primorje 2
Grosuplje 2
Bistrica 1
O. Ljubljana 1
Celje 0
Bravo 2
Rudar 0
Mura 1
Nafta 2
Fuzinar 5
Race 0
Aluminij 7
NK Polana 1
Quarter-finals
Jadran Dekani 2
Radomlje 4
Grosuplje 1
O. Ljubljana 0
Bravo 2
Nafta 0
Fuzinar 0
Aluminij 4
Semi-finals
Radomlje 0
Grosuplje 1
Bravo 0
Aluminij 1
Final
Grosuplje 0
Aluminij 1