Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Sujic G.
14'
14'
Kuqi J.
90'
90'
Gvozdenovic B.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with Jadran Luka Ploce advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jadran Luka Ploce
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Jadran Luka Ploce carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Jadran Luka Ploce's way, sitting at 90%.
- Jadran Luka Ploce have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Jadran Luka Ploce, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Jadran Luka Ploce have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Jadran Luka Ploce Clean Sheet 68%
Belisce Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jadran Luka Ploce | Belisce |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 31 |
| Wins | 23 | 3 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 1.95 | 0.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.08 | 2.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 6, 2024 Druga NL
Jadran Luka Ploce vs Belisce
2:0
Sep 30, 2023 Druga NL
Belisce vs Jadran Luka Ploce
0:3
Sep 27, 2023 Croatian Cup
Jadran Luka Ploce vs Belisce
2:1
Feb 25, 2023 Druga NL
Belisce vs Jadran Luka Ploce
0:2
Aug 20, 2022 Druga NL
Jadran Luka Ploce vs Belisce
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jadran Luka Ploce Compare
Top Goalscorer Sujic G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kuqi J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Belisce Compare
Top Goalscorer Gvozdenovic B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jadran Luka Ploce 95 / 100
Belisce 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jadran Luka Ploce Belisce
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jadran Luka Ploce Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Jadran Luka Ploce scored in 89% of their last 37 outings.
Defensive concern: Belisce conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.
Belisce lost 5 of their last 5 games.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Jadran Luka Ploce VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Jadran Luka Ploce
(Home) 19 Sept
Vukovar 1991
2 : 3 Jadran Luka Ploce
12 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0 Orijent
06 Sept
Bijelo Brdo
1 : 0 Jadran Luka Ploce
02 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 1 Dubrava Zagreb
29 Aug
Hrvace
1 : 4 Jadran Luka Ploce
Page 1 of 8
12 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0 Orijent
02 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 1 Dubrava Zagreb
22 Aug
Jadran Luka Ploce
2 : 2 Opatija
30 May
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0 Radnik Krizevci
09 May
Jadran Luka Ploce
2 : 1 Varteks Varazdin (2011)
Page 1 of 4
Belisce
(Away) 09 Sept
Karlovac
5 : 0 Belisce
11 Sept
Bednja Beletinec
3 : 0 Belisce
01 Jun
Dugo Selo
5 : 2 Belisce
25 May
Belisce
1 : 6 Kustosija
18 May
Jadran Porec
3 : 0 Belisce
Page 1 of 7
09 Sept
Karlovac
5 : 0 Belisce
11 Sept
Bednja Beletinec
3 : 0 Belisce
01 Jun
Dugo Selo
5 : 2 Belisce
18 May
Jadran Porec
3 : 0 Belisce
03 May
Karlovac
2 : 0 Belisce
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Vukovar 1991 4
Granicar Kotoriba 0
TBD -
Bijelo Brdo -
Dugo Selo 3
Pitomaca 2
TBD -
Lok. Zagreb -
Vardarac Vardaroc 1
Karlovac 2
TBD -
Jaska Vinogradar -
Gospic 2
Kutjevo 4
TBD -
Osijek -
Granicar Zupanja 0
Croatia Zmijavci 3
TBD -
Rudes -
Jalzabet 1
Moslavina 3
TBD -
Slaven Belupo -
Cibalia -
TBD -
TBD -
NK Zagreb -
NK Libertas Novska 1
Medjimurec 0
TBD -
Rijeka -
NK Tomislav Drnje 1
Jadran Luka Ploce 4
Belisce 3
Novi Marof 0
Tigar Sveta Nedelja 0
Omladinac Gornja Vrba 2
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Papuk Orahovica 1
Grobnican 29
TBD -
Varazdin -
Rudar Labin 2
Zagora 3
TBD -
Istra 1961 -
Jadran Porec 2
Mladost Zdralovi 1
TBD -
Oriolik -
Bilogora 0
Ponikve 2
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Zagorec Krapina 1
Omladinac Staro Topolje 0
TBD -
HNK Gorica -
Primorac Biograd 0
Radnik Krizevci 2
TBD -
Sibenik -
1/16-finals
Vukovar 1991 4
Bijelo Brdo 1
Dugo Selo 0
Lok. Zagreb 1
Karlovac 2
Jaska Vinogradar 1
Kutjevo 1
Osijek 4
Croatia Zmijavci 0
Rudes 1
Moslavina 2
Slaven Belupo 4
Cibalia 6
NK Zagreb 0
NK Libertas Novska 0
Rijeka 9
Jadran Luka Ploce 2
Belisce 1
Omladinac Gornja Vrba 0
Hajduk Split 6
Grobnican 0
Varazdin 1
Zagora 0
Istra 1961 2
Jadran Porec 0
Oriolik 1
Ponikve 1
Din. Zagreb 4
Zagorec Krapina 0
HNK Gorica 2
Radnik Krizevci 4
Sibenik 3
1/8-finals
Vukovar 1991 1
Lok. Zagreb 2
Karlovac 0
Osijek 1
Rudes 3
Slaven Belupo 1
Cibalia 1
Rijeka 3
Jadran Luka Ploce 0
Hajduk Split 2
Varazdin 3
Istra 1961 2
Oriolik 0
Din. Zagreb 8
HNK Gorica 4
Radnik Krizevci 0
Quarter-finals
Lok. Zagreb 1
Osijek 0
Rudes 0
Rijeka 1
Hajduk Split 5
Varazdin 0
Din. Zagreb 4
HNK Gorica 0
Semi-finals
Lok. Zagreb 0
Rijeka 1
Hajduk Split 0
Din. Zagreb 1
Final
Rijeka 1
Din. Zagreb 3
