Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jadran Luka Ploce vs Belisce

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Sujic G.
14' Event
Kuqi J.
90' Event
Gvozdenovic B.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Jadran Luka Ploce advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Jadran Luka Ploce
6%
Draws
4%
Belisce
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Jadran Luka Ploce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Jadran Luka Ploce carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Jadran Luka Ploce's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Jadran Luka Ploce have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Jadran Luka Ploce, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Jadran Luka Ploce have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Jadran Luka Ploce Clean Sheet 68%
Belisce Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jadran Luka Ploce Belisce
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 20 2
Draws 4 6
Losses 8 22
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 2.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2024 Druga NL
Jadran Luka Ploce vs Belisce
2:0
Sep 30, 2023 Druga NL
Belisce vs Jadran Luka Ploce
0:3
Sep 27, 2023 Croatian Cup
Jadran Luka Ploce vs Belisce
2:1
Feb 25, 2023 Druga NL
Belisce vs Jadran Luka Ploce
0:2
Aug 20, 2022 Druga NL
Jadran Luka Ploce vs Belisce
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jadran Luka Ploce Compare

Top Goalscorer Sujic G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kuqi J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Belisce Compare

Top Goalscorer Gvozdenovic B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jadran Luka Ploce 95 / 100
Belisce 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jadran Luka Ploce Belisce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JLP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jadran Luka Ploce scored in 88% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Belisce conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Jadran Luka Ploce went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Belisce's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jadran Luka Ploce VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jadran Luka Ploce

(Home)
30 May
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0
Radnik Krizevci
23 May
Croatia Dakovo
0 : 6
Jadran Luka Ploce
16 May
Lucko
2 : 3
Jadran Luka Ploce
09 May
Jadran Luka Ploce
2 : 1
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
01 May
Dragovoljac
0 : 5
Jadran Luka Ploce
Page 1 of 7

Belisce

(Away)
09 Sept
Karlovac
5 : 0
Belisce
11 Sept
Bednja Beletinec
3 : 0
Belisce
01 Jun
Dugo Selo
5 : 2
Belisce
25 May
Belisce
1 : 6
Kustosija
18 May
Jadran Porec
3 : 0
Belisce
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Vukovar 19914
Granicar Kotoriba0
TBD-
Bijelo Brdo-
Dugo Selo3
Pitomaca2
TBD-
Lok. Zagreb-
Vardarac Vardaroc1
Karlovac2
TBD-
Jaska Vinogradar-
Gospic2
Kutjevo4
TBD-
Osijek-
Granicar Zupanja0
Croatia Zmijavci3
TBD-
Rudes-
Jalzabet1
Moslavina3
TBD-
Slaven Belupo-
Cibalia-
TBD-
TBD-
NK Zagreb-
NK Libertas Novska1
Medjimurec0
TBD-
Rijeka-
NK Tomislav Drnje1
Jadran Luka Ploce4
Belisce3
Novi Marof0
Tigar Sveta Nedelja0
Omladinac Gornja Vrba2
TBD-
Hajduk Split-
Papuk Orahovica1
Grobnican29
TBD-
Varazdin-
Rudar Labin2
Zagora3
TBD-
Istra 1961-
Jadran Porec2
Mladost Zdralovi1
TBD-
Oriolik-
Bilogora0
Ponikve2
TBD-
Din. Zagreb-
Zagorec Krapina1
Omladinac Staro Topolje0
TBD-
HNK Gorica-
Primorac Biograd0
Radnik Krizevci2
TBD-
Sibenik-
1/16-finals
Vukovar 19914
Bijelo Brdo1
Dugo Selo0
Lok. Zagreb1
Karlovac2
Jaska Vinogradar1
Kutjevo1
Osijek4
Croatia Zmijavci0
Rudes1
Moslavina2
Slaven Belupo4
Cibalia6
NK Zagreb0
NK Libertas Novska0
Rijeka9
Jadran Luka Ploce2
Belisce1
Omladinac Gornja Vrba0
Hajduk Split6
Grobnican0
Varazdin1
Zagora0
Istra 19612
Jadran Porec0
Oriolik1
Ponikve1
Din. Zagreb4
Zagorec Krapina0
HNK Gorica2
Radnik Krizevci4
Sibenik3
1/8-finals
Vukovar 19911
Lok. Zagreb2
Karlovac0
Osijek1
Rudes3
Slaven Belupo1
Cibalia1
Rijeka3
Jadran Luka Ploce0
Hajduk Split2
Varazdin3
Istra 19612
Oriolik0
Din. Zagreb8
HNK Gorica4
Radnik Krizevci0
Quarter-finals
Lok. Zagreb1
Osijek0
Rudes0
Rijeka1
Hajduk Split5
Varazdin0
Din. Zagreb4
HNK Gorica0
Semi-finals
Lok. Zagreb0
Rijeka1
Hajduk Split0
Din. Zagreb1
Final
Rijeka1
Din. Zagreb3