Sport Picks
Jadran Luka Ploce vs Dubrava Zagreb Prediction & H2H Stats
Croatia
Prva NL NK Jadran, Luka Ploce 
Match Events
18'
18'
Sub
Ljubanovic T. In: Radujkovic N.
Out: Ljubanovic T.
35'
35'
Olabige B.
39'
39'
Radujkovic N.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Prva NL matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jadran Luka Ploce
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Jadran Luka Ploce lately — more wins on the board than Dubrava Zagreb.
- Jadran Luka Ploce are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Prva NL form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Jadran Luka Ploce Clean Sheet 20%
Dubrava Zagreb Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jadran Luka Ploce | Dubrava Zagreb |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 32 |
| Wins | 20 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 7 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.84 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.06 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 2, 2026 Prva NL
Jadran Luka Ploce vs Dubrava Zagreb
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jadran Luka Ploce Compare
Top Goalscorer Petrovic L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Dubrava Zagreb Compare
Top Goalscorer Prenkpalaj M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jadran Luka Ploce 85 / 100
Dubrava Zagreb 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jadran Luka Ploce Dubrava Zagreb
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jadran Luka Ploce Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jadran Luka Ploce scored in 84% of their last 32 games.
Defensive concern: Dubrava Zagreb conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Jadran Luka Ploce has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Jadran Luka Ploce VS Dubrava Zagreb
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Jadran Luka Ploce
(Home) 26 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0 Kustosija
19 Sept
Vukovar 1991
2 : 3 Jadran Luka Ploce
12 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0 Orijent
06 Sept
Bijelo Brdo
1 : 0 Jadran Luka Ploce
02 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 1 Dubrava Zagreb
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0 Kustosija
12 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0 Orijent
02 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 1 Dubrava Zagreb
22 Aug
Jadran Luka Ploce
2 : 2 Opatija
30 May
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0 Radnik Krizevci
Page 1 of 4
Dubrava Zagreb
(Away) 26 Sept
Dubrava Zagreb
0 : 1 Bijelo Brdo
20 Sept
Karlovac
0 : 1 Dubrava Zagreb
12 Sept
Hrvace
0 : 0 Dubrava Zagreb
06 Sept
Dubrava Zagreb
2 : 1 Opatija
02 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 1 Dubrava Zagreb
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Karlovac
0 : 1 Dubrava Zagreb
12 Sept
Hrvace
0 : 0 Dubrava Zagreb
02 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 1 Dubrava Zagreb
22 Aug
Cibalia
2 : 1 Dubrava Zagreb
14 Aug
Segesta
2 : 0 Dubrava Zagreb
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jadran Luka Ploce | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 14 |
| 2 | Croatia Zmijavci | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:6 | 13 |
| 3 | Cibalia | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 7:4 | 13 |
| 4 | Bijelo Brdo | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 13 |
| 5 | Segesta | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 6 | Mladost Zdralovi | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 11 |
| 7 | Sesvete | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9:8 | 9 |
| 8 | Dinamo Zagreb 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 9 | Dugopolje | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:9 | 9 |
| 10 | Dubrava Zagreb | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:7 | 8 |
| 11 | Karlovac | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | 8 |
| 12 | Orijent | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | 8 |
| 13 | Vukovar 1991 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:14 | 8 |
| 14 | Opatija | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:10 | 7 |
| 15 | Hrvace | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | 7 |
| 16 | Kustosija | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3:5 | 6 |
Promotion - HNL 2027/2028 (Main)
