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Jadran Luka Ploce vs Dugo Selo Prediction & H2H Stats

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2025/2026 NK Jadran, Luka Ploce
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Maric N.
(Penalty)
77' Event
Rodin N.

AI Match Summary

The Druga NL 2025/2026 game between Jadran Luka Ploce and Dugo Selo finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jadran Luka Ploce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Jadran Luka Ploce
15%
Draws
40%
Dugo Selo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jadran Luka Ploce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Jadran Luka Ploce carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Druga NL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Jadran Luka Ploce have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Jadran Luka Ploce Clean Sheet 68%
Dugo Selo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jadran Luka Ploce Dugo Selo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.76 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Druga NL
Jadran Luka Ploce vs Dugo Selo
2:0
Sep 27, 2025 Druga NL
Dugo Selo vs Jadran Luka Ploce
1:2
May 24, 2025 Druga NL
Dugo Selo vs Jadran Luka Ploce
0:3
Nov 23, 2024 Druga NL
Jadran Luka Ploce vs Dugo Selo
2:2
May 24, 2024 Druga NL
Jadran Luka Ploce vs Dugo Selo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jadran Luka Ploce Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodin N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Dugo Selo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jadran Luka Ploce 41 / 100
Dugo Selo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jadran Luka Ploce Dugo Selo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jadran Luka Ploce Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jadran Luka Ploce's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Dugo Selo conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Jadran Luka Ploce has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jadran Luka Ploce VS Dugo Selo
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jadran Luka Ploce

(Home)
26 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0
Kustosija
19 Sept
Vukovar 1991
2 : 3
Jadran Luka Ploce
12 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0
Orijent
06 Sept
Bijelo Brdo
1 : 0
Jadran Luka Ploce
02 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 1
Dubrava Zagreb
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Dugo Selo

(Away)
26 Sept
Dugo Selo
3 : 0
NK Inker Zapresic
18 Sept
Lucko
0 : 1
Dugo Selo
12 Sept
Dugo Selo
1 : 2
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
04 Sept
Uljanik Pula
3 : 0
Dugo Selo
29 Aug
Dugo Selo
1 : 0
Uskok Klis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Segesta 30 21 2 7 58:33 65
2 Kustosija 30 17 8 5 55:23 59
3 Jadran Luka Ploce 30 18 5 7 56:29 59
4 Mladost Zdralovi 30 17 8 5 48:32 59
5 Uljanik Pula 30 16 4 10 53:44 52
6 Uskok Klis 30 14 5 11 48:36 47
7 Radnik Krizevci 30 13 8 9 39:28 47
8 Solin 30 12 9 9 46:43 45
9 Trnje 30 8 7 15 37:48 31
10 Grobnican 30 7 10 13 46:60 31
11 Varteks Varazdin (2011) 30 8 7 15 34:48 31
12 Bjelovar 30 7 8 15 32:46 29
13 Lucko 30 8 5 17 32:46 29
14 Dugo Selo 30 7 8 15 22:43 29
15 Dragovoljac 30 6 10 14 28:49 28
16 Croatia Dakovo 30 7 4 19 30:56 25
Promotion - Prva NL (Main)