Sport Picks

Jadran Luka Ploce vs Dugopolje - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia

Prva NL NK Jadran, Luka Ploce

Dugopolje

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Jadran Luka Ploce host Dugopolje in the Prva NL. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Dugopolje have shipped 1.32 goals a game lately, while Jadran Luka Ploce have conceded 1.25 and scored 1.71. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.00) point toward Jadran Luka Ploce. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Jadran Luka Ploce

30%

Draws

23%

Dugopolje

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jadran Luka Ploce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence

Jadran Luka Ploce carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Jadran Luka Ploce's way, sitting at 50%.
Regular Prva NL form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Jadran Luka Ploce Clean Sheet 20%

Dugopolje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Jadran Luka Ploce	Dugopolje
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	15	13
Draws	5	7
Losses	8	8
Goals Scored	1.71	1.54
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.32
Expected Goals (xG)	1.56	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jadran Luka Ploce 49 / 100

Dugopolje 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Jadran Luka Ploce Dugopolje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jadran Luka Ploce Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jadran Luka Ploce's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Dugopolje's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Jadran Luka Ploce stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Dugopolje's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jadran Luka Ploce VS Dugopolje

1.63 Goals Scored 1.13

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5

50% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History