Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jadran Luka Ploce vs Orijent

Croatia Croatia

Prva NL NK Jadran, Luka Ploce
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Zrnic P.
40' Event
Milicevic I.
46'
Sub
Zrnic P. In: Silic R.
Out: Zrnic P.

AI Match Summary

Jadran Luka Ploce in this Prva NL matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jadran Luka Ploce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Jadran Luka Ploce
30%
Draws
23%
Orijent
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jadran Luka Ploce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Jadran Luka Ploce have won more games recently than Orijent.
  • Win probability leans Jadran Luka Ploce's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Jadran Luka Ploce Clean Sheet 16%
Orijent Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jadran Luka Ploce Orijent
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.79 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Prva NL
Jadran Luka Ploce vs Orijent
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jadran Luka Ploce Compare

Top Goalscorer Milicevic I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Orijent Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jadran Luka Ploce 39 / 100
Orijent 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jadran Luka Ploce Orijent

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jadran Luka Ploce Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jadran Luka Ploce found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Orijent conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Jadran Luka Ploce remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Jadran Luka Ploce VS Orijent
1.57 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
57% Over 1.5 100%
43% Over 2.5 75%
43% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jadran Luka Ploce

(Home)
19 Sept
Vukovar 1991
2 : 3
Jadran Luka Ploce
12 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0
Orijent
06 Sept
Bijelo Brdo
1 : 0
Jadran Luka Ploce
02 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 1
Dubrava Zagreb
29 Aug
Hrvace
1 : 4
Jadran Luka Ploce
Page 1 of 6

Orijent

(Away)
19 Sept
Orijent
1 : 0
Opatija
12 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0
Orijent
09 Sept
Orijent
2 : 3
Mladost Zdralovi
06 Sept
Orijent
1 : 1
Croatia Zmijavci
02 Sept
Cibalia
0 : 0
Orijent
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jadran Luka Ploce 6 3 2 1 11:7 11
2 Mladost Zdralovi 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
3 Croatia Zmijavci 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
4 Cibalia 6 2 4 0 6:4 10
5 Segesta 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
6 Bijelo Brdo 6 3 1 2 7:6 10
7 Sesvete 6 3 0 3 9:6 9
8 Dugopolje 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
9 Orijent 6 2 2 2 6:5 8
10 Dubrava Zagreb 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
11 Vukovar 1991 6 2 2 2 11:13 8
12 Karlovac 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
13 Dinamo Zagreb 2 6 2 0 4 10:11 6
14 Kustosija 6 1 3 2 3:4 6
15 Opatija 6 1 1 4 7:10 4
16 Hrvace 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
Promotion - HNL 2027/2028 (Main)