Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jadran Luka Ploce vs RNK Split

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL South
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL South game between Jadran Luka Ploce and RNK Split finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jadran Luka Ploce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Jadran Luka Ploce
6%
Draws
4%
RNK Split
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Jadran Luka Ploce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Jadran Luka Ploce carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Jadran Luka Ploce a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Jadran Luka Ploce here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Jadran Luka Ploce Clean Sheet 14%
RNK Split Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jadran Luka Ploce RNK Split
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 2.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2022 3. HNL South
Jadran Luka Ploce vs RNK Split
1:0
Sep 4, 2021 3. HNL South
RNK Split vs Jadran Luka Ploce
1:3
May 29, 2021 3. HNL South
RNK Split vs Jadran Luka Ploce
1:0
Nov 14, 2020 3. HNL South
Jadran Luka Ploce vs RNK Split
4:2
Sep 26, 2018 Croatian Cup
Jadran Luka Ploce vs RNK Split
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jadran Luka Ploce 84 / 100
RNK Split 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jadran Luka Ploce RNK Split

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JLP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jadran Luka Ploce scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Jadran Luka Ploce remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

RNK Split has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jadran Luka Ploce VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jadran Luka Ploce

(Home)
30 May
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0
Radnik Krizevci
23 May
Croatia Dakovo
0 : 6
Jadran Luka Ploce
16 May
Lucko
2 : 3
Jadran Luka Ploce
09 May
Jadran Luka Ploce
2 : 1
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
01 May
Dragovoljac
0 : 5
Jadran Luka Ploce
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RNK Split

(Away)
14 Feb
RNK Split
1 : 3
Din. Zagreb
19 Oct
RNK Split
2 : 0
Cibalia
27 Jul
Dugopolje
1 : 0
RNK Split
28 May
Primorac Biograd
1 : 1
RNK Split
21 May
RNK Split
1 : 0
GOSK Dubrovnik
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jadran Luka Ploce34205967:2865
2Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje341861056:3860
3Hrvace341861046:3960
4HNK Zadar341611769:2859
5Neretva341671150:3655
6RNK Split341571252:4052
7NK Junak Sinj341641449:4652
8Uskok Klis341561351:5451
9Sloga Mravince341214848:4550
10Primorac Biograd341461460:5648
11Zagora341281447:5244
12GOSK Dubrovnik3411101335:3443
13Zmaj Makarska3411101328:3943
14Neretvanac341081640:5338
15Kamen Podbablje349101537:5137
16Vodice34891744:7333
17Urania Baska Voda341032133:6533
18OSK Otok34682048:8326
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)