Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jadran Luka Ploce vs RNK Split

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL South
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL South game between Jadran Luka Ploce and RNK Split finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jadran Luka Ploce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Jadran Luka Ploce
20%
Draws
33%
RNK Split
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jadran Luka Ploce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Jadran Luka Ploce carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Jadran Luka Ploce a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Jadran Luka Ploce here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Jadran Luka Ploce Clean Sheet 20%
RNK Split Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jadran Luka Ploce RNK Split
Matches Played 46 33
Wins 26 15
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.74 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2022 3. HNL South
Jadran Luka Ploce vs RNK Split
1:0
Sep 4, 2021 3. HNL South
RNK Split vs Jadran Luka Ploce
1:3
May 29, 2021 3. HNL South
RNK Split vs Jadran Luka Ploce
1:0
Nov 14, 2020 3. HNL South
Jadran Luka Ploce vs RNK Split
4:2
Sep 26, 2018 Croatian Cup
Jadran Luka Ploce vs RNK Split
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jadran Luka Ploce 58 / 100
RNK Split 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jadran Luka Ploce RNK Split

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jadran Luka Ploce Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Jadran Luka Ploce scored in 76% of their last 46 outings.

Defensive concern: RNK Split conceded in 67% of 33 recent games.

Jadran Luka Ploce has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jadran Luka Ploce VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jadran Luka Ploce

(Home)
19 Sept
Vukovar 1991
2 : 3
Jadran Luka Ploce
12 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0
Orijent
06 Sept
Bijelo Brdo
1 : 0
Jadran Luka Ploce
02 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 1
Dubrava Zagreb
29 Aug
Hrvace
1 : 4
Jadran Luka Ploce
Page 1 of 10

RNK Split

(Away)
14 Feb
RNK Split
1 : 3
Din. Zagreb
19 Oct
RNK Split
2 : 0
Cibalia
27 Jul
Dugopolje
1 : 0
RNK Split
28 May
Primorac Biograd
1 : 1
RNK Split
21 May
RNK Split
1 : 0
GOSK Dubrovnik
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jadran Luka Ploce 34 20 5 9 67:28 65
2 Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje 34 18 6 10 56:38 60
3 Hrvace 34 18 6 10 46:39 60
4 HNK Zadar 34 16 11 7 69:28 59
5 Neretva 34 16 7 11 50:36 55
6 RNK Split 34 15 7 12 52:40 52
7 NK Junak Sinj 34 16 4 14 49:46 52
8 Uskok Klis 34 15 6 13 51:54 51
9 Sloga Mravince 34 12 14 8 48:45 50
10 Primorac Biograd 34 14 6 14 60:56 48
11 Zagora 34 12 8 14 47:52 44
12 GOSK Dubrovnik 34 11 10 13 35:34 43
13 Zmaj Makarska 34 11 10 13 28:39 43
14 Neretvanac 34 10 8 16 40:53 38
15 Kamen Podbablje 34 9 10 15 37:51 37
16 Vodice 34 8 9 17 44:73 33
17 Urania Baska Voda 34 10 3 21 33:65 33
18 OSK Otok 34 6 8 20 48:83 26
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)