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Jadran Luka Ploce vs Siroki Brijeg Prediction & H2H Stats

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Club Friendly 2025 NK Jadran, Luka Ploce
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Sesar K.
8' Event
Jelavic D.
17' Event
Tomasevic L.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Jadran Luka Ploce and Siroki Brijeg finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Siroki Brijeg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Jadran Luka Ploce
30%
Draws
12%
Siroki Brijeg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jadran Luka Ploce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Siroki Brijeg haven't matched Jadran Luka Ploce's recent run of results.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Jadran Luka Ploce taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Jadran Luka Ploce Clean Sheet 20%
Siroki Brijeg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jadran Luka Ploce Siroki Brijeg
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 17 9
Draws 4 8
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.79 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2025 Club Friendly
Jadran Luka Ploce vs Siroki Brijeg
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jadran Luka Ploce Compare

Top Goalscorer Tomasevic L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brajkovic P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Siroki Brijeg Compare

Top Goalscorer Sesar K.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Jelavic D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jadran Luka Ploce 58 / 100
Siroki Brijeg 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jadran Luka Ploce Siroki Brijeg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jadran Luka Ploce Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jadran Luka Ploce's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Siroki Brijeg has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Jadran Luka Ploce has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jadran Luka Ploce VS Siroki Brijeg
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jadran Luka Ploce

(Home)
26 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0
Kustosija
19 Sept
Vukovar 1991
2 : 3
Jadran Luka Ploce
12 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0
Orijent
06 Sept
Bijelo Brdo
1 : 0
Jadran Luka Ploce
02 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 1
Dubrava Zagreb
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Siroki Brijeg

(Away)
20 Sept
Siroki Brijeg
2 : 3
Borac Banja Luka
12 Sept
Siroki Brijeg
1 : 1
BSK Banja Luka
06 Sept
Zrinjski
2 : 1
Siroki Brijeg
02 Sept
Siroki Brijeg
1 : 2
FK Sarajevo
29 Aug
Zeljeznicar
1 : 1
Siroki Brijeg
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